转自：智通财经 【汇丰环球投资研究美国经济学家Ryan Wang：美联储官员们在后续降息路径上仍存分歧 预测利率目标 区间降至3.5%-3.75%】智通财经9月18日电，汇丰环球投资研究美国经济学家Ryan Wang表示，最新的 点阵图亦显示美联储官员们在后续降息路径上仍存分歧。汇丰环球投资研究维持先前的预测观点，即美 联储在2026年年底之前仅再分别两次降息25个基点 (今年12月和明年3月)，将利率目标区间降至 3.5%-3.75%。如果美国的劳动力市场状况进一步恶化，尤其是在申领失业救济金人数数据趋于上升的情 况下，则不排除美联储考虑在今年10月再一次降息25个基点或是在明年增加降息幅度的可能性。（智通 财经记者 郭子硕） ...

Group 1: Market Performance - The S&P 500 index closed at 5525.21 points, up 4.59% from last week's 5282.70 points, but down 6.06% year-to-date [1] - Out of the 11 sectors covered by the S&P 500, 10 sectors increased this week, compared to only 5 sectors last week [1] - The Information Technology sector was the best-performing sector this week, rising by 7.93%, while it has decreased by 11.92% year-to-date [1] - The Consumer Discretionary sector rose by 7.44% this week, but it has fallen by 13.72% year-to-date, making it the worst-performing sector [1] - The Communication Services sector increased by 6.36%, with a year-to-date decline of 6.12% [1] Group 2: Economic Data - The April manufacturing PMI composite preview report was 50.7, above the expected 50.2, while the services index was 51.4, below the expected 52.5 and down from 54.4 previously [2] - March new home sales were at an annual rate of 724,000, exceeding the expectation of 682,000, and up from 674,000 in February [2] - The final consumer confidence index for April was 52.5, down from 57.0 in March, and the annual inflation expectation decreased from 6.7% to 6.5% [2] - Mortgage applications fell by 12.7%, with purchase applications down 6.6% and refinancing applications down 20.9% [2] - The EIA reported an increase of 200,000 barrels in U.S. oil inventories, following a previous increase of 500,000 barrels [2] - The latest weekly unemployment claims report showed 222,000 claims, consistent with expectations, and the total number of people receiving unemployment insurance rose to 1.841 million [2] Group 3: Earnings Reports - The earnings season continues, with 180 stocks (accounting for 35.6% of market capitalization) reporting earnings, of which 75% exceeded expectations and 63% had sales above expectations [2] - Earnings are expected to decline by 3.2% compared to the fourth quarter of 2024 [2]