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变压器短缺如何威胁电力供应 - 彭博社
彭博· 2025-05-29 14:12
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The global shortage of transformers poses a significant threat to electricity supply and infrastructure development, particularly as demand for electrification increases due to electric vehicles, data centers, and heat pumps [1][30][60] - The transformer industry has experienced a boom and bust cycle, leading to a conservative approach in manufacturing capacity expansion despite rising electricity demand [60][61] - The time required to deliver large power transformers has increased significantly, with timelines now ranging from three to five years, complicating the planning of new power plants [56][60] Summary by Sections Transformer Shortage Impact - The shortage of transformers is slowing down the construction of electrical infrastructure, leading to increased costs and delays for companies needing power for data centers and other facilities [72][78] - Extreme weather events have exacerbated the situation, causing damage to existing transformers and resulting in prolonged outages for affected areas [79][81] Manufacturing Challenges - The transformer manufacturing industry is facing difficulties due to a lack of standardization and the need for custom-built transformers, which complicates production and delivery [55][60] - The industry is heavily reliant on specific materials, such as grain-oriented electric steel, which is in short supply, further hindering transformer production [83] Global Context - While Western economies are struggling with transformer shortages, countries like China are managing to meet their electrification needs without significant disruptions [94][96] - Governments in some regions are beginning to support transformer manufacturing to alleviate shortages, but the urgency of the situation has not yet prompted widespread action [91][92]