电动工具第二成长曲线
Search documents
巨星科技(002444)季报点评:收入短期承压 降息预期下有望修复
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-07 08:40
Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 11.156 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 0.65%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.155 billion yuan, up 11.35% year-on-year [1] - The gross profit margin reached a historical high of 35% in Q3 2025, reflecting continuous improvement in profitability [2] - The company is expanding its global footprint and product categories, with electric tools becoming a significant growth driver [3] Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 4.129 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.80%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 882 million yuan, an increase of 18.96% year-on-year [1] - The operating cash flow for the first three quarters was 1.613 billion yuan, showing a substantial year-on-year increase of 92.10% [1] - The company’s operating profit margin reached 19.6% in Q3, up 2.5% year-on-year and 1.5% quarter-on-quarter [2] Market Conditions - The decline in Q3 revenue is attributed to weak demand in the U.S. real estate market, with mortgage rates remaining above 6%, which suppresses housing demand [1] - There is an expectation of recovery in tool demand if U.S. mortgage rates decrease, similar to the trends observed during the 2009-2013 rate cut cycle [1] Growth Drivers - The electric tools segment is emerging as a crucial growth area, with the company increasing manufacturing capacity in Southeast Asia [2] - The company is expected to maintain high growth in the electric tools business, supported by a global layout and breakthroughs in orders from large retail clients [2] Investment Outlook - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 15.750 billion, 17.535 billion, and 20.120 billion yuan, with net profits of 2.554 billion, 3.060 billion, and 3.540 billion yuan respectively [3] - The company is rated "Buy" with a projected PE ratio of 14, 12, and 10 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3]