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全球银价再创历史新高 业内:控制好仓位 忌盲目追高
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-12-01 15:13
Core Viewpoint - The global silver price has reached a historic high, driven by supply-demand dynamics and increased investment sentiment, with significant price increases observed in both domestic and international markets [1][2]. Group 1: Price Movements - On December 1, the London silver spot price peaked at $57.862 per ounce, setting a new record [1]. - In the domestic market, the Shanghai Gold Exchange's AG (T+D) contract reached a high of 13,482 yuan per kilogram, closing at 13,261 yuan, reflecting a 5.51% increase [1]. - The main silver futures contract AG2602 hit a high of 13,520 yuan per kilogram, closing at 13,278 yuan, with a 5.86% increase, while the near-month contract AG2512 reached 13,789 yuan, closing at 13,282 yuan, marking a 5.82% increase [1]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The surge in silver prices is attributed to a tightening supply in the London market, a cumulative supply-demand gap, and increased investment activity [1][2]. - The correlation between domestic and international silver markets has reached unprecedented levels, with a correlation coefficient of over 0.96 between Shanghai silver futures and COMEX silver futures [2]. - The volatility of silver futures has surged to 60, significantly exceeding historical averages, with multiple instances of daily price fluctuations exceeding 5% in October and November [2]. Group 3: Inventory and Risk Management - Current silver futures inventory stands at 573 tons, with the Shanghai Gold Exchange's silver inventory at 715 tons, totaling 1,288 tons, which is historically low [1]. - Despite the rising prices, there is an upward trend in inventory, with delivery risks being manageable, as evidenced by a 40-ton increase in inventory last week and a 14-ton increase on December 1 [2][3]. - Investors are advised to implement effective position and capital management strategies, considering the high volatility and elevated prices in the precious metals market [4].