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美股银行板块逼近高位,财报季或借预期差进一步上攻
智通财经网· 2025-07-14 11:04
智通财经APP获悉,随着美国各大银行本周正式拉开财报季帷幕,策略师指出,当前市场对华尔街盈利预期的保守态度,或为银行股 延续强势表现创造有利条件。 近期银行板块涨势显著,涵盖摩根大通(JPM.US)、花旗集团(C.US)等24家机构的KBW银行指数自4月低点以来累计上涨约37%,目前 接近历史高位,这一涨幅不仅超越标普500指数同期表现,更超过以科技股为主的纳斯达克100指数约31%的涨幅。 值得关注的是,市场对金融股的盈利预期存在显著预期差。彭博行业研究数据显示,尽管金融板块预计将贡献标普500指数整体收益 的18.6%,但其当前在指数中的权重仅为13.7%,这一差距已超过该指数近15年的平均水平。 分析师平均预测标普500金融股指数第二季度收益将同比下降约1%,彭博策略师吉娜·马丁·亚当斯与迈克尔·卡斯珀在报告中指出:"投 资者对金融股盈利预期普遍持谨慎态度,这意味着若实际利润表现超预期,板块上行空间仍存。" 本周将迎来多家重量级银行财报,摩根大通、花旗集团、富国银行(WFC)将于周二率先披露业绩,高盛(GS.US)、摩根士丹利(MS.US) 及美国银行也将于本周后续时段公布数据。监管环境改善成为支撑板块 ...
Will Epam (EPAM) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?
ZACKS· 2025-07-09 17:11
Core Viewpoint - Epam (EPAM) is positioned well to potentially beat earnings estimates in its upcoming quarterly report, supported by a solid history of exceeding expectations [1][6]. Group 1: Earnings Performance - Epam has a strong track record of surpassing earnings estimates, particularly in the last two quarters, with an average surprise of 4.72% [2]. - In the most recent quarter, Epam reported earnings of $2.27 per share against an expectation of $2.41, resulting in a surprise of 6.17%. In the previous quarter, the company reported $2.84 per share compared to an estimate of $2.75, yielding a surprise of 3.27% [3]. Group 2: Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Estimates for Epam have been trending upward, aided by its history of earnings surprises. The stock currently has a positive Zacks Earnings ESP of +0.14%, indicating a bullish sentiment among analysts regarding its earnings prospects [6][9]. - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) suggests a high likelihood of another earnings beat, with historical data showing that such combinations lead to positive surprises nearly 70% of the time [7][9]. Group 3: Earnings ESP Metric - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate reflecting the latest analyst revisions, which may be more accurate [8]. - A negative Earnings ESP can diminish predictive power but does not necessarily indicate an earnings miss [10].