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证券投资基金专题报告:美国多资产ETF发展历程及对国内市场的启示
Shanghai Securities· 2025-07-28 11:53
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The industry and market are increasingly focusing on multi - asset ETFs as an innovative product offering one - stop asset allocation solutions. The report explores the development of US multi - asset ETFs to provide insights for domestic market innovation [2][11]. - US multi - asset ETFs have shown significant growth in recent years, with distinct characteristics such as strong head - effects in scale, rapid development of actively managed products, and extensive application of FOF - type products [2][20][31]. - The development of US multi - asset ETFs offers important lessons for the domestic market, including deepening multi - asset index development, diversifying allocation strategies, and broadening underlying asset investment tools [5]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Two Action Plans Mentioned, Multi - asset ETFs Are Approaching - The "Public Offering Plan" emphasizes increasing the creation of asset - allocation products to meet the needs of investors with different risk preferences and promote the coordinated development of equity and fixed - income investments [8]. - The "Index Plan" proposes researching and launching innovative index products such as multi - asset ETFs and expanding the underlying asset categories of ETFs. Recent releases of multi - asset indices indicate growing market attention [10][11]. 3.2 Analysis of the Development History and Current Situation of US Multi - asset ETFs - In 2005, BlackRock issued the world's first multi - asset ETF in Canada. In 2006, Invesco launched the first US multi - asset ETF. After the 2008 financial crisis, multi - asset ETFs evolved rapidly [13][14]. - As of March 31, 2025, there are 181 multi - asset ETFs in the US market, with a total scale of $36 billion, ranking first globally. However, their scale accounts for only 0.35% of all US ETFs, indicating significant growth potential [18]. - The top three fund managers in terms of management scale are BlackRock, Pacer Advisors, and First Trust Portfolios, with a combined scale ratio of 45.35%. The top ten multi - asset ETFs in terms of fund scale account for 51.26% of the total scale [22][25]. - Actively managed multi - asset ETFs have developed rapidly. As of March 31, 2025, 146 out of 181 multi - asset ETFs are actively managed, accounting for 80.66%. Their issuance has increased explosively since 2021 [31]. - FOF - type products are widely used in US multi - asset ETFs. As of March 31, 2025, 73 out of 181 multi - asset ETFs are marked as FOF - type, accounting for nearly 40%, with a fund scale of $13.041 billion, about 36% of the total [34]. - The expense ratios of US multi - asset ETFs vary significantly. The average expense ratio of all 181 multi - asset ETFs is 0.80%, with actively managed and passively managed products having average expense ratios of 0.83% and 0.69% respectively. The expense ratio has generally remained low since 2016 [5][40]. 3.3 Exploration of the Strategy Classification of US Multi - asset ETFs - **Core Allocation Type**: This is the most common strategy type, further divided into target - risk, macro - strategy, and subjective - allocation subtypes. Target - risk type aims to meet pre - designed risk metrics, with 28 products and a scale of $8.176 billion. Macro - strategy type adjusts asset allocation based on macro - economic analysis, with 12 products and a scale of $0.937 billion. Subjective - allocation type gives investment managers high freedom, with 57 products and a scale of $10.402 billion [44][47][51]. - **Trend - Following Type**: These ETFs use momentum factors or trend - following models for asset allocation. As of March 31, 2025, there are 26 products with a scale of $7.193 billion, accounting for about 20% of the total [54][55]. - **Target - Dividend Type**: These ETFs focus on interest (dividend) income, with 22 products and a scale of $6.384 billion. The average historical dividend rate of 17 products issued before 2024 is 7.20%, much higher than other types [58][63]. - **Option - Strategy Type**: These ETFs add option - based derivatives to underlying assets to change the risk - return characteristics. As of March 31, 2025, there are 36 products with a scale of $2.907 billion, accounting for 8.08% of the total [63][64]. 3.4 Suggestions and Insights - **Investor Suggestions**: Different types of investors can choose corresponding multi - asset ETFs. For example, risk - sensitive investors can choose target - risk type; policy - sensitive investors can choose macro - strategy type; investors seeking stable cash flow can choose target - dividend type; those preferring quantitative strategies can choose trend - following type; and investors interested in alternative strategies can choose option - strategy type [68][69][70]. - **Insights for the Domestic Market**: The domestic market should prioritize using existing multi - asset indices as tracking targets, deepen the development of multi - asset indices, focus on stable strategies and diversify allocation strategies, and broaden underlying asset investment tools to promote the development of multi - asset ETFs [72][73][75].