相似性算法
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市场风格轮动系列:基于相似性算法的风格轮动策略
CMS· 2026-03-10 07:16
Group 1 - The report discusses a style rotation strategy based on similarity algorithms, emphasizing the use of historical similar phases to form indicators for style rotation signals [1] - The study validates that similarity signals can effectively guide large-cap and growth-value rotation strategies, improving upon previously proposed frameworks based on odds and win rates [1] Group 2 - Four elasticity measurement algorithms are introduced: DTW, DTW-S, SBD, and MSM, each with distinct advantages and disadvantages in handling time series data [4] - DTW allows for non-linear alignment of time series, addressing issues of time axis shifts, while DTW-S introduces constraints to improve computational efficiency and reduce over-warping risks [4][23] - SBD excels in shape matching but has limitations in local pattern recognition, while MSM is designed for natural transformations in time series data [30][36] Group 3 - The report compares the effectiveness of strategies based on absolute and relative return perspectives, finding that relative return perspectives significantly outperform absolute ones [42] - The analysis indicates that the relative return perspective directly identifies the relative state of styles, avoiding inaccuracies in comparisons [42] Group 4 - The study incorporates similarity signals into an existing framework based on odds and win rates, resulting in improved annualized excess returns for both large-cap and growth-value strategies [4] - The annualized excess return for large-cap strategies increased from 16.76% to 18.13%, while for growth-value strategies, it rose from 13.79% to 15.27% [4]