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2026年REITs与房地产服务股票相对价值“分层” Federal(FRT.US)依托资本循环获小摩青睐
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-19 04:11
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley has made significant rating adjustments for nine popular investment targets in the REITs and real estate services sector, with seven downgrades and two upgrades, reflecting a more stratified rating distribution as the U.S. economy approaches a soft landing and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut cycle is expected to continue [1][2]. Group 1: Downgraded Companies - Realty Income (O.US) rating downgraded from "Neutral" to "Underweight" due to its large scale making it difficult to achieve above-average profit growth compared to its net lease REIT peers [2]. - Public Storage (PSA.US) rating downgraded from "Overweight" to "Neutral" as improvements in core growth rate are expected to take longer and not follow a straight line [2]. - Welltower (WELL.US) rating downgraded from "Overweight" to "Neutral" based on a short-term stock price judgment rather than any deterioration in growth prospects [2]. - Regency Centers (REG.US) rating downgraded from "Overweight" to "Neutral," which is also a temporary stock trend judgment despite its strong long-term growth outlook [2]. - Kennedy Wilson (KW.US) rating downgraded from "Neutral" to "Underweight" due to limited upside from a pending privatization offer [3]. - UDR (UDR.US) rating downgraded from "Neutral" to "Underweight" [3]. - SmartStop (SMA.US) rating adjusted from "Overweight" to "Neutral" [3]. Group 2: Upgraded Companies - Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT.US) rating upgraded from "Neutral" to "Overweight" as it effectively recycles capital from mature assets into higher-quality retail assets, improving growth visibility for 2026 [4]. - Camden Property Trust (CPT.US) rating upgraded from "Underweight" to "Neutral" due to its stronger balance sheet providing greater flexibility for buybacks and development in 2026, significantly improving relative risk-reward [4].