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益生股份(002458):鸡苗价格反弹盈利修复,鸡苗种猪销量延续增长
CAITONG SECURITIES· 2025-10-28 08:57
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company has experienced a rebound in chick prices, leading to a recovery in profitability, with continued growth in the sales of chick breeds and breeding pigs [1][4] - The company reported a revenue of 2.036 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a decrease of 5.44% year-on-year, and a net profit of 32 million yuan, down 89.42% year-on-year [7] - The sales volume of white feather chicks continued to grow, with a total of 490 million chicks sold in the first three quarters, an increase of 13.3% year-on-year [7] - The company has solid competitive advantages in breeding supply, with a significant increase in breeding pig sales [7] - The forecast for revenue from 2025 to 2027 is 3.385 billion yuan, 3.947 billion yuan, and 4.509 billion yuan respectively, with net profits expected to be 121 million yuan, 308 million yuan, and 588 million yuan [7][8] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2023 is projected at 3.225 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 52.7% [5] - The net profit for 2023 is expected to be 541 million yuan, with an EPS of 0.54 yuan [5] - The PE ratio for 2025 is projected to be 83.7, decreasing to 17.3 by 2027 [5] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is expected to be 2.9% in 2025, improving to 13.0% by 2027 [5][8]