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稀土产业供给端二次进化
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占据全球90%产能的我国稀土产业,如何实现供给端的“二次进化”?
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-19 09:21
Core Insights - China's rare earth industry holds a dominant position globally, accounting for 69% of smelting and separation capacity and over 90% of processing capacity, indicating a strong market presence and potential for continued growth [1][2][4] Group 1: Industry Overview - The rare earth industry in China is experiencing a high prosperity cycle driven by strong commodity prices and improved corporate performance, with expectations for profit growth and valuation expansion [1][13] - China's rare earth reserves are substantial, with approximately 44 million tons, representing 40%-50% of global proven reserves, while other countries also possess significant resources [1][2] Group 2: Competitive Advantages - China's competitive edge lies in its advanced smelting and separation processes, integrated systems, and mature industrial clusters, supported by low electricity costs and effective resource utilization [6] - The country has a significant influence on global rare earth supply, with 2024 production projected at 270,000 tons, maintaining a 69% share of global output [4][6] Group 3: Regulatory Environment - The introduction of the "Interim Measures for the Total Control of Rare Earth Mining and Smelting Separation" in August 2025 aims to enhance control over domestic and imported rare earth resources, promoting consolidation among leading companies [1][9] - The tightening of production quotas and stricter total control measures are expected to support the healthy development of the industry by reducing supply and stabilizing prices [9][10] Group 4: Innovation and Future Outlook - The period from 2025 to 2030 is anticipated to be characterized by technological leadership and ecological symbiosis in the rare earth sector, with a significant increase in the domestic production rate of high-end rare earth functional materials [12] - Recent advancements include the establishment of a smart demonstration line for rare earth motors, showcasing significant improvements in performance and efficiency, indicating progress in high-end rare earth applications [12]