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稀土王牌失效了,法日开建的全球最大稀土工厂,可能面临成本问题
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-23 06:31
Core Viewpoint - The collaboration between France and Japan, with an investment of €216 million, aims to challenge China's long-standing monopoly in the rare earth sector, but significant underlying weaknesses may hinder success [1][3][20] Investment Overview - The investment of €216 million includes €106 million from the French government and €110 million from Japan through JOGMEC and Iwatani Industries, targeting the establishment of a large-scale rare earth recycling plant in Lacq, France, with an annual processing capacity of 7,000 tons and production of 1,400 tons of oxides [3][4] Market Dynamics - Downstream orders have been secured, with Stellantis signing contracts for light rare earths, Japan taking half of the heavy rare earths, and Brazil entering a ten-year supply agreement for concentrates, indicating initial market interest [4][12] Cost Challenges - The project faces significant financial challenges, as the initial investment primarily covers construction and equipment, while ongoing operational costs, particularly high labor and energy expenses, are expected to escalate [5][6] - Energy costs are projected to be over 50% higher than similar facilities in China, leading to a comprehensive product cost that is 2.5 times higher than Chinese counterparts [6][12] Technical Limitations - The project claims to have some patents but lacks extensive industrial production experience, making it vulnerable to operational challenges, particularly in the complex solvent extraction process for heavy rare earth separation [7][8] - European environmental regulations add further financial burdens, complicating the operational landscape and increasing costs for water and chemical management [8][10] Supply Chain Issues - The project's goal of recycling 2,000 tons of waste permanent magnets is ambitious, but the current recycling network in Europe is underdeveloped, leading to high logistics costs and reliance on low-grade ore imports from Australia and Brazil [10][12] Competitive Landscape - China maintains a dominant position in the rare earth market, with significant reserves and production capabilities, making it difficult for other countries to replicate this success in the short term [12][14] - Despite new projects in the West, they generally face challenges related to scale, cost, and raw material stability, limiting their ability to alter the global rare earth supply dynamics [17][20]