【珠海律师、珠海法律咨询、珠海律师事务所、京师律所、京师珠海律所】 （本文转载自北京市京师郑州律师事务所） 一、稳定币市场的发展现状与核心特征 1.1 稳定币的定义、分类及市场格局演变 2.1 杜均在火币的治理角色与合规框架构建 稳定币作为连接传统金融体系与加密资产市场的桥梁，其定义已形成行业共识：通过储备资产抵押、算法调节或其他机制维持相对法币价格稳定的加密货 币。根据抵押物类型可分为三类：法币抵押型（如USDT、USDC）、加密资产抵押型（如DAI）及算法稳定币（如AMPL）。市场格局演变呈现明显集中 化趋势，截至2023年Q2，Tether的USDT占据全球稳定币市值的68.3%，Circle的USDC以23.5%位居第二（数据来源：CoinMarketCap）。这种"双寡头"格局 的形成，既源于早期市场准入门槛较低导致的野蛮生长，也受监管套利驱动——USDC通过主动接受纽约州金融服务局监管获得合规溢价，而USDT则凭 借先发优势在亚洲市场建立深厚用户基础。 1.2 火币生态与ABCDE Capital在稳定币领域的布局分析 火币生态通过Huobi Token（HT）逐步向合规稳定币延伸，其2022年推 ...

转自：新华财经 稳定币快速扩张的另一面是风险形态的转移。报告显示，今年上半年，加密货币市场共发生 344起安全 事件，累计损失24.7亿美元，刷新历史记录。相比起传统智能合约漏洞，攻击者正逐步将目标转向中心 化平台的运营基础设施。 同时，稳定币还被越来越多的黑客用作洗钱通道。尽管此类交易在整体交易量中的占比有所下滑，但是 绝对金额仍达数百亿美元，带来极大的合规风险。 新华财经上海7月23日电（记者 魏雨田）7月22日，Web3与区块链安全公司 CertiK发布《Skynet 2025 上 半年稳定币全景报告》（以下简称"报告"）。报告认为，稳定币正在快速融入全球金融体系，但与之相 伴的安全漏洞与合规压力也同步放大。 展望2025年下半年，报告预计，RWA（现实世界资产）支持型与收益型稳定币将成为创新主线。其 中，RWA支持型稳定币通过锚定国债等链下资产，与当前全球主要经济体推进稳定币合规化的监管趋 势高度契合；而收益型稳定币凭借"链上版货币基金"的属性，正吸引着寻求稳健收益的投资者，尤其受 到机构投资者与高净值用户的青睐。 2025年上半年，全球稳定币总供应量已突破2500亿美元，月度结算额达1.4万亿美元， ...

稳定币在资本市场上掀起的这波热潮始于5月21日，香港立法会通过《稳定币条例草案》，以在香港设 立法币稳定币发行人的发牌制度。该法例将于8月1日起生效，根据条例，香港金融管理局将开启牌照申 请。香港财经事务及库务局局长许正宇表示，新条例建立的发牌制度将为稳定币相关活动提供适切监 管，为香港稳定币乃至整个数字资产生态的可持续发展奠定基础，这一举措可视作促进香港国际金融中 心地位的里程碑。 6月17日，美国参议院也以68票赞成、30票反对的表决结果通过了《指导与建立美国稳定币国家创新法 案》，又称《GENIUS法案》。这个被称为美国首个稳定币的法案，市场普遍预期，一旦落地将为美国 稳定币产业带来急需的监管明晰，成为推动合规发展和机构入场的重要催化剂。 7月16日，稳定币相关概念股再次"王者归来"。其中，A股稳定币概念股日内震荡回升，金时科技 （002951）走出8天5板，恒宝股份（002104）盘中涨超6%再创历史新高；港股稳定币相关概念股表现 突出，其中，中国三三传媒盘中涨超130%，金涌投资涨幅15.83%；加幂科技涨幅6.74%，其他个股也纷 纷跟涨。 Defillama的数据也显示，目前加密货币稳定币的市场 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market showed strong performance with major financial sectors leading the gains, driven by economic recovery expectations, attractive bank dividend yields in a low-interest environment, and sustained inflow of long-term capital [1][2] Market Analysis - The strong index performance is attributed to three main factors: 1. The banking and major financial sectors exhibited robust growth, supported by enhanced economic recovery expectations and the appeal of bank dividend yields in a low-interest rate environment [2] 2. The Shanghai State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission held a meeting regarding the development trends and strategies for cryptocurrencies and stablecoins, indicating a regulatory acceleration for stablecoins and the advent of an "equity era" for asset tokenization [2] 3. Major rare earth companies, Northern Rare Earth and Baotou Steel, announced price increases, leading to expectations of improved performance and valuation for domestic rare earth magnetic material companies [2][4] Sector Highlights - **Rare Earth Sector**: The rare earth permanent magnet concept stocks continued to perform strongly, with Northern Rare Earth achieving consecutive gains. Price increases from major players are expected to benefit domestic companies in terms of performance and valuation [4] - **Stablecoin Concept**: The stablecoin sector saw renewed strength, with stocks like Guo'ao Technology and Greenland Holdings hitting the upper limit. The focus has shifted from cross-border payments to asset tokenization, driven by liquidity release and improved settlement efficiency [5] - **CRO Sector**: The pharmaceutical sector, particularly CRO and innovative drugs, experienced gains, with companies like WuXi AppTec and Kailai Ying reaching the upper limit. The sector is expected to benefit from improved market conditions and policy support for commercial insurance development [6] Institutional Perspectives - **Dongguan Securities**: Expressed a cautious bullish outlook on the market, noting stable domestic economic performance and a shift in the central bank's monetary policy assessment towards a more positive stance [8] - **Guoxin Securities**: Indicated that the market's central tendency could still rise, despite a relatively dispersed profit-making effect. The expectation of improved fundamentals supports a higher market center [9] - **Ping An Fund**: Maintained a long-term bullish view, anticipating strong performance in sectors like military and new energy during the upcoming earnings season, while acknowledging potential short-term tactical adjustments [10]

Group 1: Stablecoin Compliance and Payment Infrastructure - The development of compliant stablecoins in Hong Kong is strategically significant, with a focus on monitoring license applications and issuance progress [2][11] - Key beneficiaries of this trend include securities IT service providers, licensed stablecoin institutions, cross-border payment companies, and Web3.0 technology service providers [2][11] - The stablecoin market is expected to grow rapidly, potentially reaching a size of $2-3.7 trillion within 3-5 years [11] Group 2: HaiXing Electric (603556) Overview - HaiXing Electric has a strong international presence, with a complete industrial chain and sales channels established overseas, contributing to its revenue growth [2][10] - The company’s smart electric products and systems accounted for 76.07% of its revenue, with a total revenue of 4.717 billion yuan and a net profit of 1.002 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth of 12.30% and 2.00% respectively [10][12] - The global smart meter market is projected to grow from 162 million units in 2024 to 236 million units by 2029, with a compound annual growth rate of 7.81% [12][13] Group 3: Alibaba (BABA) FY1Q26 Forecast - Alibaba is expected to generate revenue of 249.2 billion yuan in FY1Q26, representing a year-on-year growth of 2.4%, while the Non-GAAP net profit is projected to decline by 11% to 36 billion yuan [3][12] - The company is focusing on enhancing its instant retail capabilities and leveraging AI to drive cloud intelligence [3][12] - The overall valuation target for Alibaba is set at $138 per share, indicating a potential upside of 33% [3][12] Group 4: Shipping Industry Insights - China Shipbuilding (600150) anticipates a significant increase in net profit for H1 2025, estimated between 2.8 billion to 3.1 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 98%-119% [19] - The company is benefiting from high-value orders and a stable ship price environment, with a projected increase in new ship orders [19] - The merger with China State Shipbuilding Corporation is expected to enhance production capacity significantly, potentially reaching 33% of global capacity [19] Group 5: Photovoltaic Industry Analysis - The price of polysilicon has surged, with N-type dense material quoted at 44,500 yuan per ton, reflecting a 0.55% increase [22] - The photovoltaic industry is expected to benefit from rising prices, particularly in the export market, which may offset domestic demand declines [22] - Investment recommendations include companies involved in polysilicon production and those with independent alpha opportunities in the photovoltaic sector [22]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the stablecoin industry, anticipating rapid expansion in the next 3-5 years, with a projected market size reaching between $2 trillion to $3.7 trillion [3][55]. Core Insights - The stablecoin sector is evolving towards compliance and payment infrastructure, driven by regulatory developments in the U.S. and other countries, which aim to enhance financial efficiency and counteract the dominance of traditional currencies [3][44]. - The establishment of a regulatory framework for stablecoins in Hong Kong is seen as strategically significant, reinforcing its status as an international financial center and expanding the reach of the digital yuan [3][59][63]. - The report highlights the emergence of various companies that stand to benefit from the growth of stablecoins, including IT service providers, licensed stablecoin issuers, and cross-border payment firms [4][50]. Summary by Sections 1. Historical Context and Future Outlook - Stablecoins have emerged as a solution to the volatility of traditional cryptocurrencies, with USDT and USDC being prominent examples that cater to different market needs [7][24]. - The report emphasizes that stablecoins are expected to become a mainstream payment method, potentially disrupting traditional banking services [51][55]. 2. Focus on Hong Kong Stablecoins - The introduction of the "Stablecoin Ordinance" in Hong Kong is a landmark development, establishing a licensing regime for stablecoin operations and enhancing regulatory clarity [59][60]. - The ordinance aims to solidify Hong Kong's position as a global financial hub and facilitate the integration of the digital yuan into the stablecoin ecosystem [61][63]. 3. Related Companies - Key beneficiaries identified include IT service providers like 恒生电子 and 金证股份, licensed stablecoin issuers such as 众安在线, and cross-border payment companies like 新国都 and 拉卡拉 [4][50]. - The report also notes the involvement of major tech firms and banks in exploring stablecoin issuance and related services, indicating a broader trend towards digital finance integration [49][50].

Group 1 - President Trump announced a 200% tariff on imported pharmaceuticals and a 50% tariff on copper, effective August 1, 2025 [3] - The U.S. government will provide companies approximately one to one and a half years to adjust before tariffs are implemented [3] - The State Council of China released an opinion on improving the mechanism for efficiently handling key matters, emphasizing inter-departmental collaboration [3] Group 2 - The Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs reiterated that there are no winners in a trade war and emphasized the negative impact of protectionism [4] - The People's Bank of China and the Hong Kong Monetary Authority announced measures to optimize and expand the Bond Connect program [4] - The National Development and Reform Commission and other departments issued a notice to support the construction of zero-carbon parks [5] Group 3 - GAC Fiat Chrysler announced bankruptcy [9] - Huayin Electric's stock turnover rate reached 80.95% over six trading days, significantly higher than the industry average [9] - Juhua Co. expects a net profit increase of 136% to 155% year-on-year for the first half of the year [9]

Group 1 - The Shanghai Composite Index strengthened on July 9, rising nearly 0.1% and surpassing the 3500-point mark for the first time since November 8, 2024 [1] - Major stocks in the securities sector showed positive performance, with GF Securities up 1.87%, East Money up 0.60%, CITIC Securities up 0.61%, China Merchants Securities up 0.57%, and Huatai Securities up 0.44% [1] - The global regulatory framework for stablecoins is accelerating, shifting market focus from cross-border payments to asset tokenization, driven by liquidity release and improved settlement efficiency [1] Group 2 - Guotai Junan Securities estimates that the future scale of stablecoins could reach $3.5 trillion, with projections across four scenarios: $363.3 billion in crypto assets, $2.9 trillion in cross-border payments, $121.6 billion in daily consumer payments, and $133.3 billion in traditional capital market tokenization [2] - The Securities ETF leader closely tracks the Guozheng Securities Leader Index, reflecting the market performance of quality listed companies in the securities theme and providing investors with richer index investment tools [2] - As of June 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the Guozheng Securities Leader Index account for 78.71% of the index, including East Money, CITIC Securities, Huatai Securities, and others [2]

Group 1 - Trump threatens to impose high tariffs on copper and pharmaceuticals, with a potential 200% tariff on imported drugs and a 50% tariff on copper starting from August 1, 2025 [3][4] - The State Council issued an opinion on enhancing the mechanism for efficiently completing key tasks, emphasizing the management of key task lists and inter-departmental collaboration [3][4] Group 2 - GAC Fiat announced bankruptcy, marking a significant event in the automotive industry [9] - Huayin Electric has seen a significant trading volume, with an 80.95% turnover rate over the past six trading days, indicating heightened investor interest [10] - Juhua Co. expects a net profit increase of 136% to 155% year-on-year for the first half of the year, reflecting strong financial performance [13] - Shenhua Development anticipates a net profit increase of 732.89% to 830.88% year-on-year for the first half of 2025, indicating robust growth [20]

2025 年上半年，全球出现了很多黑天鹅事件，也诞生了很多的机会。 特朗普二进白宫，对全球各经济体打出一套关税大拳，引发市场巨震； 各地区矛盾激化，俄乌冲突、以叙冲突持续，印巴空战，以伊冲突因核而起 .... 中国资产崛起，新消费主导，创新药上演反转大戏，稳定币迈向合规化； 港股市场热度爆棚，涌现了泡泡玛特、老铺黄金等十倍股，内地上市公司排队赴港上市。 危与机，如影相随。资本市场从来不缺机会，缺少的往往是认知能力和执行能力。 自成立以来，格隆汇始终秉持 "独行者速，众行者远"的理念，与各位在投资这条路上同行。 9 年陪伴，我们之间的故事依然精彩，在这个如火的 7 月，相约鹏城，共话投资与人生。 7 月 4 日，格隆汇 2025 中期策略峰会如期在深圳开幕，来自全国各地的投资者、上市公司与机构代表以及此次活动的嘉宾齐聚深圳南山香 当日一早，活动签到处就挤满了人群，大家意气风发，满心期待着此次会议的干货。 格里拉酒店。 签到后，参会者们领取了参会证和小礼品，一起打卡合影留念。 活动正式开始后，现场人头攒动，熙熙攘攘的人群如潮水般涌来，整个会场被挤得水泄不通。 原本排列整齐的座位早早被坐满，过道上也站满了人，可见大 ...