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美团-W(03690.HK):2025Q3业绩不及预期 待竞争格局企稳
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-03 05:49
Core Insights - The company is increasing investments in user, rider, merchant subsidies, and ecosystem development to consolidate market share amid intensified competition in the instant delivery sector [1] - The company has revised its non-IFRS net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to -19.9 billion, 32.2 billion, and 54.2 billion yuan, respectively, down from -2.6 billion, 35.8 billion, and 58.8 billion yuan [1] - The company anticipates a return to profitability in 2026 as the competitive landscape stabilizes, with a projected net profit growth rate of 68.4% in 2027 [1] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company's revenue was 95.49 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.0%, but below Bloomberg's consensus estimate of 97.47 billion yuan [2] - The non-IFRS net loss for Q3 2025 was 16.01 billion yuan, worse than Bloomberg's consensus estimate of a loss of 13.96 billion yuan, primarily due to fierce competition in the food delivery sector [2] - Core business revenue declined by 2.8% year-on-year, with an operating loss of 14.1 billion yuan and an operating loss margin of 20.9% [2] Business Segments - The delivery service revenue fell by 17.1% year-on-year, attributed to increased subsidies and competitive pressures in the food delivery market [2] - New business revenue grew by 15.9% year-on-year, with an operating loss of 1.3 billion yuan, but the loss margin improved by 2.5 percentage points, mainly due to enhanced efficiency in the Hong Kong and Middle Eastern markets [2] - The company plans to pilot its new business, Keeta, in Brazil in late October 2025, expecting to continue significant investments during the initial phase [2]
美团-W(03690.HK):2025Q2业绩不及预期 行业激烈竞争预计延续
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-30 04:13
Group 1 - The short-term instant delivery industry is experiencing intensified competition, leading to increased investments in user, rider, merchant subsidies, and ecosystem development [1] - The company has adjusted its non-IFRS net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to -26 billion, 358 billion, and 588 billion respectively, down from previous estimates of 506 billion, 638 billion, and 779 billion [1] - The company aims to consolidate market share through increased subsidies in 2025, with expectations of a return to profitability in 2026 and a projected net profit growth rate of 64.2% in 2027 [1] Group 2 - In Q2 2025, the company's revenue was 918 billion, a year-on-year increase of 11.7%, slightly below Bloomberg's consensus estimate of 937 billion [2] - The non-IFRS net profit for Q2 2025 was 14.9 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 89%, significantly lower than the consensus estimate of 98.5 billion, primarily due to intense competition in the delivery industry [2] - Core business revenue grew by 7.7% year-on-year, with delivery service revenue increasing by 2.8%, but the growth rate lagged behind the increase in instant delivery transaction volume due to higher subsidy deductions [2]