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光模块上游芯片紧缺,kimi引致算力通缩担忧 | 投研报告
Market Overview - The overall market performance for the week of November 3 to November 9, 2025, saw the Shanghai Composite Index rise by 1.08%, the Shenzhen Component Index increase by 0.19%, and the ChiNext Index grow by 0.65% [2] - The Shenwan Communication Index increased by 0.92% during the same period, reflecting a continuation of high industry prosperity driven by AI, 5.5G, and satellite communications [2] Subsector Performance - Among the three sub-industries within the communication sector, communication network equipment and devices had the highest increase at 1.98%, while other communication devices experienced the largest decline at 3.31% [2] - Overall, most sub-sectors within the communication industry showed a trend of retreat during the week [2] Individual Stock Performance - Notable stock performances in the communication sector included Wanlong Optoelectronics with a rise of 23.34%, Yihua Co. with an increase of 12.18%, and Tianfu Communication up by 10.75% [2] Focus Areas - The report suggests focusing on the computing power supply chain and satellite industry [3] - Recent earnings reports from overseas AI communication hardware suppliers Lumentum and Coherent exceeded expectations, with Lumentum reporting record high shipments of 100G and 200G EML lasers [3] - Coherent plans to double its indium phosphide laser production capacity within the next 12 months, which is expected to significantly enhance production efficiency and reduce costs [3] Market Dynamics - The supply chain for upstream chips is facing bottlenecks due to a mismatch in supply and demand, creating opportunities for domestic suppliers to enter the supply chain [3] - Concerns about the cost of computing power hardware have been raised, but the demand for computing hardware is not expected to decline significantly as the current models are entering an application penetration phase [4]