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Is the S&P Technically Not Bullish Now?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-20 16:52
Market Performance - The S&P 500 index reached a new all-time high of 6,920.34 in late October but subsequently fell to a low of 6,574.32, marking a drop of 346.02 (5%) [1] - The index's decline has surpassed its previous 4-week low of 6,631.44 from early October [1] Technical Analysis - The Four-Week Rule suggests covering short positions and buying long when prices exceed the highs of the previous four weeks [2] - Conversely, it advises liquidating long positions and selling short when prices fall below the lows of the previous four weeks [3] - Despite the rise of algorithm-driven trading, the Four-Week Rule remains relevant due to its focus on volatility and momentum [4] Interest Rate Outlook - Continued selling of stocks may occur if the US Federal Open Market Committee decides to hold off on another interest rate cut in December [5] - The December 30-day Fed funds futures contract indicates a rate of 3.825%, while the January contract suggests a rate of 3.764%, both within the current range of 3.75% to 4.0% [5]