Workflow
技术分析
icon
Search documents
山金期货黑色板块日报-20250822
Shan Jin Qi Huo· 2025-08-22 02:14
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Views of the Report - For the steel sector, the recovery of future demand may fall short of expectations due to the real - estate market still being in the process of bottom - building, and futures prices are under downward pressure. The short - term prices of rebar and hot - rolled coils may stabilize, and the medium - term trend is expected to be a wide - range oscillation. For iron ore, although there is room for an increase in steel mill's molten iron production after the military parade, the room for further increase is limited, and the medium - term trend is likely to be oscillatory [2][4] Group 3: Summary by Directory Rebar and Hot - Rolled Coils - **Supply and demand**: Rebar production has decreased for the second consecutive week, apparent demand has increased from a decline, factory inventory has increased for the third consecutive week, and social inventory has increased for the sixth consecutive week. The total production and inventory of the five major steel varieties have increased, and apparent demand has also risen. With the end of the summer heat, apparent demand should gradually recover, and total inventory is expected to gradually decline [2] - **Technical analysis**: After a sharp decline, rebar and hot - rolled coils have stabilized and rebounded, with a decrease in open interest. Short - term prices may stabilize, and the medium - term will maintain a wide - range oscillation [2] - **Operation suggestion**: Maintain a wait - and - see attitude and patiently wait for a rebound to short [2] - **Data summary**: Various data such as futures and spot prices, basis, spreads, production, inventory, and apparent demand are presented in detail, including changes compared to the previous day and the previous week [2] Iron Ore - **Supply and demand**: The profitability of steel mills is acceptable, but the proportion of profitable steel mills has decreased. The molten iron production of 247 steel mills has increased slightly. After the military parade, there is room for an increase in molten iron production, but the room for further increase is limited. The global iron ore shipment is at a high level, and future arrivals are expected to increase. Port inventory shows signs of stabilizing [4] - **Technical analysis**: The 01 contract has stabilized near the middle track of the daily K - line Bollinger Band. Short - term prices may rebound to the upper track, but the overall Bollinger Band opening is narrowing, and the medium - term trend is likely to be oscillatory [4] - **Operation suggestion**: Close short positions in the short - term and then maintain a wait - and - see attitude [4] - **Data summary**: Comprehensive data on iron ore, including spot and futures prices, basis, spreads, shipment, freight, arrivals, inventory, etc., are provided, along with changes compared to the previous day and the previous week [4] Industry News - As of August 2025, 20 distressed real - estate enterprises have had their debt restructuring and reorganization approved, with a total debt resolution scale exceeding 120 billion yuan. Since 2022, 27 listed real - estate enterprises have been delisted passively, and several others have delisted through privatization [6] - Chengdu has introduced a new housing provident fund policy, with preferential measures for purchasing affordable housing [6] - Some steel mills in Tangshan and Xingtai plan to raise the price of coke [6] - The online auction of coking coal by Mongolia's ETT company on August 21 ended in failure [6] - As of the week of August 21, rebar production has decreased for the second consecutive week, and apparent demand has increased from a decline [6] - As of August 21, the operating rate and capacity utilization rate of the float - glass industry have remained stable, and the daily output has remained at the highest level of the year [7]
淨利大增133%!為何小米股價仍在10日線下掙扎?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-21 19:13
Financial Performance - Xiaomi Group reported a total revenue of 116 billion RMB for Q2 2025, marking a historical high with a year-on-year growth of 30.5% [1] - The profit attributable to shareholders was approximately 11.904 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 133.51% [1] - Basic earnings per share were 0.46 RMB, and no dividend was declared [1] Stock Price Performance and Technical Analysis - As of the early trading session, Xiaomi's stock price was 52.35 HKD, up 0.1%, fluctuating within the 53-51 range [2] - The stock price fell below the 10-day moving average of 52.44 HKD, with an RSI of 44 indicating it is close to the oversold zone [2] - Multiple oscillators have issued sell signals, but the bull-bear power indicator suggests "severe overselling, possibly forming a bottom," indicating increasing market divergence [2] Market Sentiment and Options Activity - Market sentiment towards Xiaomi remains generally positive, with investors showing interest in call options despite recent price adjustments [3] - Notable call options include a product with a strike price of 61 HKD expiring in April next year, which has attracted significant capital [3] - Conversely, put options are also available for those anticipating a decline, with a strike price of 43 HKD expiring in October this year [3][4] Key Support and Resistance Levels - Current support levels are identified at 50.8 HKD (Support 1) and 49.2 HKD (Support 2), while resistance levels are at 54.8 HKD (Resistance 1) and 57.5 HKD (Resistance 2) [5] - The 5-day volatility is at 4.2%, indicating a narrowing range, but the VR transaction ratio shows weak capital inflow momentum [5] Product Performance and Strategy - Bearish products have performed well, with specific bear certificates rising significantly during Xiaomi's price decline [6] - Recommended bullish products include HSBC and UBS call options with a strike price of 61.05 HKD, suitable for investors expecting a rebound to 54.8 HKD [10] - For bearish strategies, HSBC put options with a strike price of 46.45 HKD are suggested as a hedge against downside risk [10]
外汇交易要注意哪些方面?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-21 06:01
外汇交易作为一种重要的金融活动,涉及到不同货币之间的兑换和买卖,吸引着众多参与者。对于进行 外汇交易的人来说,了解并重视多个方面的要点至关重要。 再者,掌握外汇交易相关的基础和进阶知识。理解汇率决定理论,如购买力平价理论、利率平价理论 等,能从宏观层面帮助分析汇率变动的原因。同时,了解技术分析和基本面分析方法。技术分析通过研 究汇率图表、价格走势和交易指标来预测汇率未来变动方向;基本面分析则侧重于分析经济数据、政治 局势、货币政策等因素对汇率的影响。将两者有机结合,可以提高交易决策的准确性。 风险控制在外汇交易中是关键的一环。外汇市场充满不确定性,汇率波动可能导致交易者的账户资金产 生大幅变化。设置合理的止损和止盈点位是常用的风险控制手段。止损能在汇率走势不利时限制损失进 一步扩大,止盈则能在达到预期盈利目标时锁定利润。同时,合理规划资金管理,不要将过多资金集中 在一笔交易上,避免过度交易,分散投资可以降低因单一交易失败而导致重大损失的可能性。 对于影响外汇市场波动的各项因素要密切关注。经济数据的发布对汇率有着直接影响,如国内生产总值 (GDP)增长、通货膨胀率、失业率、利率变动等。强劲的经济数据通常会推动本 ...
放下选股“锤子”,也许ETF才是更适合你的投资品种!
成下载服"官手" 世界官正之星星星奇偷 的政策是最新的! 众所周知国内ETF市场在这两年持续大扩容, 低成本、低踩雷风险、投遍全球等优势想必你也 早已听腻了。但今天,我们要告诉你一个更残酷 的真相,ETF之所以适合普通散户,真正的原因是 普通散户存在认知维度单一,投资能力不强,显 得总是"弱弱的"。 手拿着子的人。 正如开头语境所示,关于ETF今天我们并不想 跟你反复聊一些老生常谈的事,而是想跟你聊点 与众不同的、掏心窝子的话。且看本文标题-放下 四月节号 艺术中共中国十八十九十年一八九時,贺共 | と以 | | --- | | 种! | 股民B以互联网轻资产标准审判银行, 就像指责猪为什么不会飞; 股民C把技术分析当成万能钥匙, 实则连锁眼都没找对。 而这,就是认知单一的散户朋友们,他们弱在 体系化认知上的局限性,弱在自我认识的不清晰, 弱在总是拿着锤子,看啥都像钉子。这个群体普遍 日常工作很忙,时间有限,从未系统性学习,对投 资认知不高,但是瘾头很大,总是呈现出今天迷信 基本面的好,明天偏信技术分析的妙,大后天一实 操,"一锤子"下去大力未出奇迹,却在"锤子" 的更迭中"血流成河"。 >> 放下选股锤音。 ...
技术分析网站Economies:现货金价跌破短期一条看涨趋势线支撑 加剧了抛售压力
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-08-13 06:37
(文章来源:新华财经) 技术分析网站Economies.com最新观点认为,受到EMA50均线的负面压力,现货金价在盘中小幅下跌,尤其是跌破短期一条看涨趋势线支撑,加剧了抛售压 力。不过,4小时图上RSI指标达到大幅超卖水平后出现了积极势头,或可为短期金价反弹铺平道路。 ...
突破保力加中線後,中移動能否再下一城?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-11 19:56
Core Viewpoint - China Mobile (00941) has reported a significant increase in the number of 5G base stations under construction, exceeding market expectations, which has led to heightened anticipation for future data service growth. However, concerns regarding increased capital expenditure potentially impacting short-term profits are influencing stock price movements [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of the last trading day, China Mobile's stock closed at HKD 86.9, reflecting a daily increase of 1.11% with a trading volume of HKD 2.167 billion [1]. - The stock is currently in a rebound phase, with a first support level at HKD 83.7 and a second support level at HKD 80.4. The first resistance level is at HKD 90.1, with a higher resistance at HKD 93.4 [3]. - Technical indicators show a neutral summary signal, with a strength of 10, while multiple moving averages indicate a "buy" signal. However, various oscillators suggest a neutral stance, with the RSI at 54, indicating market indecision regarding short-term trends [1]. Group 2: Product Performance - Historical product performance indicates that on August 6, 2025, China Mobile's stock rose by 1.58%, with associated warrants and certificates showing significant leverage effects, such as a 24% increase in a specific call warrant [5]. - For those optimistic about continued rebounds, HSBC call warrants (26612) have a leverage of 20.3 times with an exercise price of HKD 90.05, while Bank of China call warrants (14068) have a leverage of 18.7 times with the same exercise price [8][9]. - Conversely, for those concerned about potential resistance to the rebound, HSBC put warrants (19060) and UBS put warrants (18846) offer leverage of 13.1 and 13.5 times, respectively, with exercise prices around HKD 71.83 and HKD 71.88 [8][10]. Group 3: Market Sentiment - The market is currently evaluating whether China Mobile can break through the upper resistance levels or if it will face downward pressure [10].
外汇交易要掌握哪些要点?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-10 07:31
Group 1 - Understanding the basic concept of foreign exchange trading is essential, which involves the exchange of one country's currency for another, influenced by various economic and political factors [1] - Market analysis is crucial, utilizing both fundamental analysis, which assesses long-term currency value based on macroeconomic factors, and technical analysis, which predicts future price movements using historical price charts and indicators [1] Group 2 - Trading strategies are vital, including trend trading, swing trading, and carry trading strategies, each with distinct approaches to capitalize on market movements [2] - Risk management is key in foreign exchange trading, emphasizing the importance of setting stop-loss and take-profit levels to control potential losses and secure profits [2]
贺博生:8.10黄金原油下周一开盘行情走势预测及最新多空操作建议指导
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-10 07:06
一样的行情,不一样的指导,不一样的人生。新手的特点就是不懂技术,盲目进场。他们每次交易只考虑一个问题:认为只要预判了市场涨跌就可以去做这 笔交易。这种重方向、轻位置的做法使得交易者一败涂地。其实,顺势而为的"势"跟"方向"是有很大差别的,因为市场的运动方向呈现震荡的形态运行,而 市场的趋势往往是全局性的。在我这里,我能做的是帮你合理的把控仓位,利用支撑和阻力位下单,让每一单有理可依,有迹可循。买卖点位不应该是随意 进场,请对自己的资金负责。如果你对行情真的无法把握,可以前来找到我,多一个分析师对你来说没有任何损失,永远记住一句话,专业的人做专业的 事,一切实战只为盈利,合作只为双赢。 原油技术面分析:原油从日线图级别看,K线连续六个交易日收阴线,油价跌破原震荡区间下沿,中期主观趋势向下。均线系统尚未形成空头排列,中期客 观趋势处于转换期。从动能看,MACD指标在逐步下穿零轴位置,空头动能逐步转强。预计原油中期走势将转入下行。原油短线(1H)走势低位震荡整理,整 体为次要节奏。均线系统压制油价,短线客观趋势方向向下。MACD指标在零轴下方运行,空头动能占优势,预计日内原油走势将延续下行为主。综合来 看,原油下周 ...
Oil News: Technical Analysis Points to $62.69 If WTI Breaks Below 200-Day Average
FX Empire· 2025-08-05 11:48
Core Viewpoint - The content emphasizes the importance of conducting personal due diligence and consulting competent advisors before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments and trading [1]. Group 1 - The website provides general news, personal analysis, and third-party content intended for educational and research purposes [1]. - It explicitly states that the information does not constitute any recommendation or advice for investment actions [1]. - Users are advised to perform their own research and consider their financial situation before making decisions [1]. Group 2 - The website includes information about complex financial instruments such as cryptocurrencies and contracts for difference (CFDs), which carry a high risk of losing money [1]. - It encourages users to understand how these instruments work and the associated risks before investing [1].
帮主郑重:散户避坑指南!避开这5个,技术面才算入门!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-02 08:18
Group 1 - The article discusses common challenges faced by retail investors in technical analysis, emphasizing the importance of understanding key indicators and market behavior [1][3] - It highlights that using only two indicators, moving averages and trading volume, can provide a clearer picture of market trends compared to relying on multiple complex indicators [3] - The article stresses the significance of identifying support and resistance levels based on historical trading volume rather than arbitrary price points [3][4] Group 2 - It addresses the common frustration of buying high and selling low, suggesting that true market movements can be confirmed by analyzing trading volume during breakouts or breakdowns [3][4] - The article advises against a one-size-fits-all approach to setting stop-loss and take-profit levels, recommending adjustments based on the investor's holding period and market volatility [4] - It concludes that technical analysis should adapt to market conditions, emphasizing the need for investors to understand the underlying market dynamics rather than relying solely on indicators [4]