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当下的盘面是比较脆弱的
猛兽派选股· 2025-10-10 04:22
很多人被上涨惯性锁定心理,总是想有个什么新的主线马上能切换上,再嗖嗖地往上拉,但大多数现实是:即便有新的主线,也是从回调的洗礼中脱颖而 出的。 并非技术无用,只是你不会用或者错用,或者明明看到了却选择不相信。 技术分析并不是通过一个MACD即将金叉就幻想到5000点,而是客观呈现当下的态势。 最近我的看法一直是偏空的,技术信号告诉我这里风险越来越大了,持股和仓位不得不收缩到窄小的范围。 昨天的跳空天量长阳怎么样?这不是好几本经典书籍都有讲到过的卖出方法么。 虽然上证指数这一个月强势横盘,同时创业板和科创板不断新高,但动量指标显示,这是次级别背离式突破,这一点前些天的文章中我有系统讲过。就像 一个东西往上抛,顶部有个减速过程,这就是顶背离。克服波段顶背离继续加速的例子非常少见。 市场靠什么撑着,大家都心知肚明。算力这块,主板有工业富联,创业板有易中天、胜宏,盘子也都不小了。算力停下后,创业板有储能续命,主板有金 属顶住,就这么个局面。 现在,只要算力、储能、金属一松劲,指数大阴线马上就来了,工业富联这么大盘子,成交量5日均已经明确掉下20日均了,弧形下降,能扛得住吗? 指望券商?哈哈,券商全靠散户的想象力,偶尔 ...
行业内不愿谈的真相?投资大师罗杰斯直言:我没见过一个靠技术分析发财的富人
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-10 01:07
今天我们来了解下素有"商品大王"之称的投资大师吉姆·罗杰斯(Jim Rogers),他出现在杰克·施瓦格(Jack Schwager)的经典著作《市场奇才》 (Market Wizards)的原版中。罗杰斯的章节标题是《买入价值,卖出癫狂》(Buying Value and Selling Hysteria)。 施瓦格笔下的吉姆·罗杰斯 据施瓦格介绍: 吉姆·罗杰斯在1968年以600美元的启动资金开始交易。1973年,他与乔治·索罗斯(George Soros)共同创立了量子基金(Quantum Fund)。1980年,罗杰 斯选择退休。 实际上,他成为了一名独立交易者,并在哥伦比亚大学开设课程。 罗杰斯起初并不愿接受施瓦格的采访,因为他并不认为自己是"专业交易员"。 "我认为自己只是一个等待机会出现的人。我等待那种像'桶里打鱼'一样的情形。" "我通常会持有头寸很多年。而且,我可能是世界上最差劲的交易者之一——我从来不会在正确的时间入场。" 早年经历 更多有关罗杰斯的早年生平及策略,可点击阅读:《"商品大王"吉姆·罗杰斯:量子基金联合创始人的秘密》 "我把所有的钱都省下来,又重新投入市场。我不在乎有没有电 ...
Gold Has Surged to Record Highs Above $4,000—Watch Out for These Critical Price Levels
Investopedia· 2025-10-09 12:15
Recent buying of the precious metal has been fueled by investor anxiety about the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, economic uncertainty, and expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this month. Spot gold prices, which were little changed at around $4,035 per ounce in recent trading, have surged 54% since the start of the year, with broader gains supported by central bank buying, a loss of confidence in the U.S. dollar and a range of geopolitical issues. Key Takeaways Gold (XAUUSD) has ...
湖南金证退费:如何利用技术分析辅助判断市场短期趋势
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-08 05:54
需要强调的是,技术分析虽然具有重要的参考价值,但并非万能的。市场环境的变化、突发消息的影响都可能使技术信号失效。因此,明智的投资者会结合 多方面因素进行综合判断,而不是单一依赖技术指标。 湖南金证作为中国证监会批准的全国第一批、湖南省首家获得证券投资咨询业务牌照的专业机构,具备丰富的投顾咨询服务经验,可以为客户提供一站式金 融投资服务。 对于想要运用技术分析的投资者,建议首先建立适合自己的分析体系,重点掌握几种核心指标的使用方法。同时,要始终保持风险意识,做好资金管理。此 外,保持平和的心态也至关重要,避免因短期波动而做出情绪化的交易决策。 均线系统作为技术分析的基础工具,在趋势判断中发挥着关键作用。当股价在短期均线上方运行且均线呈现多头排列时,通常表明市场处于上升趋势;反 之,若股价连续跌破多条均线支撑,则可能预示着调整即将到来。观察市场表现可以发现,那些能够站稳重要均线的个股,往往具备更强的持续上涨动能。 MACD指标因其对趋势变化的敏感性而备受投资者青睐。该指标的金叉和死叉信号能够较好地反映市场动能的变化。当快慢线在零轴上方形成金叉时,通常 意味着较强的买入机会;而在零轴下方出现的死叉则提示需要警惕风险 ...
AMD: OpenAI To Become Largest Shareholder, With Vesting Thresholds At $600 Per Share
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-07 11:00
Small deep value individual investor, with a modest private investment portfolio, split approx. 50%-50% between shares and call options. I have a B.Sc. in aeronautical engineering and over 6 years of experience as an engineering consultant in the aerospace sector. The latter statement is not relevant in any way whatsoever to my investment style, but I thought to add it for self-indulgent purposes. I have a contrarian investment style, highly risky, and often dealing with illiquid options. How illiquid? Well ...
Gold rally trend is about to end, says Bank of America Securities' Paul Ciana
Youtube· 2025-10-06 18:17
So joining me now with whether those runs can continue is Paul Siana, the head of technical research over at BFA Securities. So we brought in an expert to talk to us about the prices of Bitcoin and the prices of gold and whether or not those trends are things that can sustain over time or whether we're due for some kind of a reversal. So let's start first of all with the first chart that we're going to put up here and that's going to be a little bit about the gold rally.This is a weekly chart showing all of ...
当年46块买入中国石油,不久果断割肉,直接离场!两种变盘信号告诉你:什么时候不能死扛一只股票
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-06 09:06
中长期均线与行情价格的震荡,比之短期均线,要小很多,轻松得多,简单得多。舍与得的哲理,需要慢慢的体会仔细的体会。很多时侯,对于赚取利润,要看淡看开。你想着完美,必然大副增 股票被套了怎么办,我们是死扛,还是割肉? 针对不同的个股不同的位置被套,有不同的应对方式: 第一,套在阶段性热点龙头的顶部。下图这只个股时次新股,开板经过整理,拉出一波轰轰烈烈的大牛行情,如果我们买在了顶部的位置(图中白色圈圈的地方),想要通过死扛来解套,基本不太 第二,套在震荡箱体的顶部。下图所示,个股运行在箱体内,当我们被套在第一个圈圈的位置,死扛一段时间,就能解套了。当我们被套在第二个圈圈的位置,同样地,死扛一段时间,后市也给 第三,被套在底部区域。下图这只个股,若我们买在了白色框框的位置,也就是底部区域,这种情况被套了,也只是暂时的,放长周期来看,底部区域天然具有很高的安全边际,解套是迟早的事 总结起来,被套了,有些情况可以死扛着等解套,有些情况唯有止损认错,具体个股具体分析。 炒股的四个关键技术,一是选择优质股票,二是选择买卖时机,三是控制仓位,四是操作节奏 1、先算风险,后算盈利。计划好再去做,不要急于买卖操作。 2、理性投资, ...
证券小知识:什么是阻力位?怎么看待阻力突破?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-06 01:21
在技术分析中,阻力位是指价格在上涨过程中可能遇到压力、难以突破的某个价位区域。当市场价格接 近这一位置时,卖方力量往往增强,买方信心减弱,导致价格出现回落或震荡整理。阻力位的形成通常 源于前期高点、密集成交区或心理整数关口,反映了市场参与者在此位置的集体行为和预期。 阻力位并非一成不变,它可能随着市场情绪、资金流向和基本面变化而发生位移。投资者常将阻力位作 为判断趋势强弱的重要参考。若价格多次尝试上攻但均未能有效突破,说明该阻力较为强劲;反之,若 价格在放量情况下一举越过阻力位,并在后续交易中站稳其上方,则可能意味着阻力被转化为新的支 撑,市场进入上升通道。 如何看待阻力突破?关键在于"有效性"。一次真正的突破通常伴随成交量明显放大,且价格能在突破后 持续维持在阻力位之上,而不是迅速回落。若仅是短暂刺穿而后快速跌回,可能是假突破,由短期情绪 或消息刺激所致,需警惕回调风险。 对于投资者而言,识别阻力位有助于制定合理的买卖策略。在接近阻力区域时保持谨慎,避免盲目追 高;若观察到有效突破迹象,可结合其他技术指标和基本面因素,评估是否跟进参与。同时,设置止损 仍是控制风险的重要手段。 需要注意的是,技术分析工具具有 ...
CoreWeave: Bears Are Wrong - This Is Not A Circular Economy, Reiterate Strong Buy
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-03 11:43
Small deep value individual investor, with a modest private investment portfolio, split approx. 50%-50% between shares and call options. I have a B.Sc. in aeronautical engineering and over 6 years of experience as an engineering consultant in the aerospace sector. The latter statement is not relevant in any way whatsoever to my investment style, but I thought to add it for self-indulgent purposes. I have a contrarian investment style, highly risky, and often dealing with illiquid options. How illiquid? Well ...
十一长假充电指南:5类投资好书助你逆袭“财富认知”
雪球· 2025-10-03 07:58
Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of financial literacy and developing a proper money mindset as the first step towards wealth freedom, especially for beginners who feel they have "no money to manage" [4][5][6] - It introduces engaging and easy-to-understand books like "The Rich Dad Poor Dad" and "The Little Money Dog" to help readers build a new understanding of wealth and financial management [5][6] - The article highlights the significance of value investing, founded by Benjamin Graham, which focuses on finding stocks priced below their intrinsic value for long-term gains [8][9] Group 2 - "The Intelligent Investor" is presented as a foundational text in value investing, introducing the concept of "margin of safety" to protect against market volatility [9] - "Warren Buffett's Letters to Shareholders" provides insights into Buffett's investment philosophy, emphasizing the importance of long-term competitive advantages and intrinsic value over short-term price fluctuations [10] - Practical methods for applying value investing principles in stock selection and asset allocation are discussed, including industry analysis and financial metrics [11][12] Group 3 - The article discusses the basics of technical analysis, which helps investors make informed decisions based on historical price and volume data [15][16] - "Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques" is recommended for understanding market trends and buy/sell signals through candlestick patterns [16] - "Market Trend Analysis" is highlighted as a comprehensive guide to identifying market trends and managing risk through various technical indicators [17][18] Group 4 - The importance of a systematic trading approach is emphasized, with "The Turtle Trading Rules" providing a framework for disciplined trading based on clear entry and exit rules [20] - "The Simplest Thing in Investing" offers localized strategies for the A-share market, focusing on finding undervalued stocks and understanding pricing power [21] Group 5 - The article stresses the psychological aspects of investing, highlighting the need for a rational mindset to navigate market volatility [22][23] - "Poor Charlie's Almanack" is recommended for its insights into multi-disciplinary thinking and investment philosophy [24] - "The Most Important Thing" by Howard Marks emphasizes understanding market cycles and risk management as key components of successful investing [25] Group 6 - The article addresses the impact of human psychology on investment decisions, suggesting strategies to overcome emotional biases [26][27] - "Reminiscences of a Stock Operator" illustrates the influence of fear and greed on trading behavior through the life of Jesse Livermore [27] - "Fooled by Randomness" warns against cognitive biases and emphasizes the importance of risk management in unpredictable markets [28] Group 7 - The article provides a reading strategy for efficiently absorbing investment knowledge during holidays, suggesting a mix of short and long reading sessions [30][31] - It encourages practical application of learned concepts by identifying actionable insights from each book read [34][35] - The importance of verifying investment theories against current market conditions is highlighted to avoid blind adherence to strategies [36]