今天听了一些其他行业的创始人 / 成功人士的访谈 & 播客，发现有很多思维模式还是互通的最核心的因素是风口 + 运气，抓住了红利期，然而目前看来找到风口这件事没有太多通法，大部分原因是机缘巧合就好像电商时期，拼多多颠覆了速卖通的过程中也有不少人吃到红利：平台刚起来的时候是商家最容易赚钱的时候，流量不花钱，商家竞争小而不抽离原有体系的原因是对原有的老旧体系心存幻想，在一个领域的沉没成本过高时，很难克服人性改道去新的领域更抽象化的底层思维还是理性人对机会成本的理解 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) has regained its position as the world's leading IPO market, with a significant increase in fundraising activities in the first half of 2025 [2][14]. - According to Ernst & Young's report, HKEX's IPO fundraising accounted for 24% of the global total in the first half of 2025, surpassing both NASDAQ and NYSE [2]. - The number of IPOs and the amount raised in Hong Kong are expected to grow by 33% and 711% respectively compared to the same period last year [2]. Group 2 - As of June 20, 2025, HKEX had 31 IPO projects with a total fundraising of 884 billion HKD, exceeding the total amount raised in the previous year [2]. - The average fundraising amount for IPOs in Hong Kong in 2023 was only 6.77 million HKD, marking a ten-year low, with only one IPO exceeding 5 billion HKD [3]. - The IPO market in Hong Kong has seen a turnaround this year, with several notable IPOs contributing to the market's recovery [3][4]. Group 3 - Notable IPOs this year include the toy company Bluc, which set a record with a subscription amount of 877.5 billion HKD, and the beverage company Mixue, which raised 1.84 trillion HKD in subscriptions [4][8]. - The performance of newly listed companies like Mixue and InnoCare has significantly improved market sentiment, with Mixue's stock price rising by 153.6% from its issue price [8][9]. - The influx of southbound capital through the Stock Connect program has reached a record net inflow of 186 billion HKD in the first half of 2025, indicating strong investor interest [9][13]. Group 4 - The structure of the Hong Kong stock market is changing, with a shift towards sectors such as healthcare, technology, and consumer goods, which have shown strong performance [11][12]. - The Hang Seng Index has seen significant gains, reaching its highest levels since 2021, driven by strong performances from various sectors [11]. - The article highlights the potential for continued growth in the Hong Kong IPO market, with expectations for over 50 new economy companies to list in the second half of 2025, potentially raising over 160 billion HKD [13][14].

高端商场黄金珠宝专家交流 20250624 摘要 2025 年 1 月至 5 月，北京 SKP 中国黄金增速达 199%，主要受 4 月大 单驱动；剔除该因素，菜百、周大福等品牌增速在 30%-50%之间，反 映黄金品类整体增长态势。 新品牌如老凤祥通过提价预告、会员政策调整和新品研发，显著提升了 2025 年销售业绩，表明灵活的市场策略对品牌增长至关重要。 老铺凭借精湛工艺和黄金镶嵌优势，在 2025 年北京 SKP 销售额大幅增 长，4 月 SKPS 新店单月销售额达 7,000 万元，预计全年增速超 200%。 老铺客户画像稳定，客单价因涨价突破 3 万元，饰品销售占比 89%，女 性顾客占比 85%，与奢侈品和国际珠宝品牌客户重叠度上升至 38%。 北京 SKP 引入老凤祥、周大生国家宝藏等新品牌，月均业绩约 200 万元， 但国家宝藏表现较弱，表明品牌认知度和合作款式对业绩有直接影响。 美妆赛道整体承压，北京 SKP 美妆销售下降 5%，但成都市场表现强势， 总体增长 6%。毛戈平快闪店在北京 SKP 月均销售额达 400 万元。 未来五年黄金市场预计将保持红利期，受经济环境和消费者保守心态驱 动， ...

大家好，我是银行螺丝钉，欢迎来到这期的螺丝钉带你读书。 「螺丝钉带你读书」也陪伴大家度过了三百多期，为大家讲解了很多有趣、经典的书籍和故事，比如《三十几岁，财务自由》、《如何读一本 书》、《战胜拖延症》等等。 还为大家详细介绍了几位投资大师：股神巴菲特、他的好搭档查理芒格和指数基金之父约翰博格。分享了他们的人生经历、投资生涯和投资的理 念。 大家可以点击下面链接查看部分螺丝钉带你读书合集： 《 世界读书日，螺丝钉送你121本私藏经典好书 》 往期回顾 第一篇：《 为什么高收入可能不会持续：从行业红利到时代红利 》 第二篇：《 没有明显机会时，我们要躺平还是卷起来？ 》 提高收入，选好行业和工作很重要 这几期螺丝钉带你读书，介绍的是一本挺有意思的书《觉醒吧，薪人类》。 这两篇文章，咱们来介绍下，如何提升收入。 想要提高收入，选好行业和工作也很重要。 选对行业的3个关键词 如何选择行业呢？ 三个关键词：长坡，厚雪，红利。 厚厚的雪指的是行业有利润，选择"离钱近"的行业。 所谓的离钱近，要么是公司赚钱多（高毛利），要么是公司能调动的资源多（资本密集）。 ▼ 高毛利 （1）长长的坡 长长的坡意味着行业有较长的寿命，并 ...

大家好，我是银行螺丝钉，欢迎来到这期的螺丝钉带你读书。 「螺丝钉带你读书」也陪伴大家度过了三百多期，为大家讲解了很多有趣、经典的书籍和故事，比如《三十几岁，财务自由》、 《如何读一本书》、《战胜拖延症》等等。 还为大家详细介绍了几位投资大师：股神巴菲特、他的好搭档查理芒格和指数基金之父约翰博格。分享了他们的人生经历、投资生 涯和投资的理念。 《 世界读书日，螺丝钉送你121本私藏经典好书 》 时代的红利 今天螺丝钉带你读书，介绍的是今年出来的一本挺有意思的书《觉醒吧，薪人类》。 这本书的作者来自新加坡。 这本书里，介绍投资的内容很少，主要是介绍，我们面对社会的不同阶段，人生该做什么选择。 例如在工作上、生活上、心态上。 接下来几期螺丝钉带你读书，咱们就来介绍下这本书。 今天介绍的，是一个老生常谈的话题：时代的红利。 行业红利期 我们经常听到行业的红利期，是怎么回事呢？ 举个例子，咱们之前提到过，行业的发展阶段。 （1）初创期，行业从0到5% 这个阶段，一些创业团队会介入，做创新，满足客户的需求。 大公司这个阶段进入不多，因为行业空间很小，无法让大公司获得盈利提升。 这也就是 《创新者的窘境》 大家可以点击下面 ...

本文来自微信公众号：白哥出海日记，作者：白哥出海日记，原文标题：《马来西亚做餐饮亏了一套房》，头图来自：拍摄 现在国内各行各业的竞争，尤其是餐饮——现状就是：我活不活无所谓，我只要你死。 从最初刚来马来西亚做高仿服装，后来又做燕窝，再到后面川菜、湘菜很火，就又转型换行业开始了十年餐饮之路，再到后面又开始做甜品店，选得很好 的商场位置。一路又开了8家火锅店、14家米线店，做成了马来西亚的餐饮头部。 十年餐饮路上，开开关关的也十来家店，亏了几百万真金白银买了非常多的经验，这几天又刚转让出去了两家店，几乎是"白菜价"出手。 昨天在吉隆坡见到了从四川过来的两个朋友，她们想来考察下马来西亚的餐饮市场。我就问了一下她们目前在国内的情况。 说她在她们那片搞了8家袁记云饺，全军覆没。另一个朋友说她搞了3家瑞幸咖啡，80平大小的面积，七七八八一家店投出来60-80万，位置选的也贼牛 逼，商场有点人脉关系，拿的地段很好，也还是不行。主要是吧，国内现在做餐饮，商家拼杀的你死我活，价格卷到没利润，想着竞争对手死了，剩自 己。陷入恶性循环，劣币驱逐良币。 所以大家现在都想出来，都想出海发展，但其实也并不简单，其中的门门道道也多得很。前 ...

Core Viewpoint - The discussion around the significance of early mortgage repayment has intensified as the five-year LPR has dropped to 3.5% and the average interest rate for first-time home loans has fallen below 3%, indicating a shift in wealth management strategies among Chinese households [1] Group 1: Changing Financial Dynamics - The decline in mortgage rates has led to a reevaluation of the financial attributes of real estate, with some homeowners finding that the cost of holding property is now comparable to rental prices [3] - In cities where mortgage rates have increased, the combination of lower public fund loan rates has made mixed financing options more attractive, highlighting the influence of interest rates on asset prices [3] - The long-term impact of inflation on mortgage payments suggests that fixed-rate mortgages can serve as a hedge against inflation, preserving purchasing power over time [3] Group 2: Shift from Deleveraging to Leverage Optimization - The trend of early mortgage repayment is being replaced by strategies that optimize leverage, such as using low-interest mortgages to replace higher-interest consumer loans [4] - Younger generations exhibit a higher tolerance for mortgage debt, viewing it as a form of financial security rather than a burden, which reflects a generational shift in financial planning [4] - The overall leverage ratio of Chinese households has increased significantly, indicating a transition in financial strategies from deleveraging to leveraging opportunities [4] Group 3: Future Trends in Housing Finance - The changing demographics and economic cycles suggest that the financial attributes of real estate will become less dominant compared to its residential value, with a projected increase in second-hand home transactions [5] - Policy shifts indicate a move towards viewing mortgages as economic stabilizers rather than burdens, with various measures being introduced to support reasonable housing demand [5] - The current low mortgage rates may represent a unique opportunity for wealth redistribution, as leveraging assets becomes more favorable in a low-interest environment [6]