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红枣市场周报-20251010
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-10-10 09:11
瑞达期货研究院 「2025.10.10」 红枣市场周报 研究员:王翠冰 期货从业资格号F03139616 期货投资咨询从业证Z0021556 关 注 我 们 获 取 更 多 资 讯 业务咨询 添加客服 目录 1、周度要点小结 2、期现市场 3、产业情况 4、期权市场及期股关联 「 周度要点小结」 策略建议:操作上,建议郑枣2601合约短期观望。 未来交易提示: 1、现货价格2、消费端 3 行情回顾:本周郑枣主力合约价格上涨,周度涨幅约3.0%。 行情展望:新季主产区红枣长势相对优于去年同期,受节气影响,新枣下树时 间预计较去年提前一周左右,内地客商假期前后陆续前往产区备战新季,目前 签订量较少,且尚未下树,关注新枣收购价格。据 Mysteel 农产品调研数据统计, 截止2025年10月9日红枣本周36家样本点物理库存在9167吨,较上周减少36吨, 环比减少0.39%,同比增加93.89%,样本点库存小幅下降。双节期间销区市场到 货少量,受假期情绪及降雨影响,看货采购客商一般。 「 期现市场情况」 本周红枣期货价格走势 图1、郑枣主力合约价格走势 4 「 期现市场情况」 本周郑枣期货前二十名持仓情况 图2、红 ...
红枣市场周报-20250926
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-09-26 09:58
瑞达期货研究院 「2025.09.26」 红枣市场周报 研究员:王翠冰 期货从业资格号F03139616 期货投资咨询从业证Z0021556 取 更 多 资 讯 添加客服 关 注 我 们 获 业务咨询 目录 1、周度要点小结 2、期现市场 3、产业情况 4、期权市场及期股关联 「 周度要点小结」 策略建议:操作上,建议郑枣2601合约短期观望。 未来交易提示: 1、现货价格2、消费端 3 行情回顾:本周郑枣主力合约价格大涨,周度涨幅约5.76%。 行情展望:主产区灰枣处于上糖期,部分头茬果开始皱皮吊干,从天气预警看 近期未见明显降雨,目前枣果品质优于去年同期水平。销区市场,现货市场购 销氛围一般,下游刚需采购为主。据 Mysteel 农产品调研数据统计,据 Mysteel 农产品调研数据统计,截止2025年9月25日红枣本周36家样本点物理库存在 9203吨,较上周减少44吨,环比减少0.48%,同比增加84.80%,样本点库存小幅 下降。当前时间节点处于淡季向旺季过渡,关注消费及新季灰枣品种情况。 「 期现市场情况」 图1、郑枣主力合约价格走势 来源:郑商所 瑞达期货研究院 本周郑枣2601合约价格大涨,周 ...
红枣市场周报-20250919
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-09-19 10:33
研究员:王翠冰 期货从业资格号F03139616 期货投资咨询从业证Z0021556 瑞达期货研究院 「2025.09.19」 红枣市场周报 取 更 多 资 讯 关 注 我 们 获 业务咨询 目录 1、周度要点小结 2、期现市场 3、产业情况 4、期权市场及期股关联 添加客服 未来交易提示: 1、现货价格2、消费端 3 行情回顾:本周郑枣主力合约价格下跌,周度跌幅约4.35%。 行情展望:当前红枣市场处于新旧交替关键时期,主产区灰枣进入上糖期,关 注枣果长势。销区市场,据 Mysteel 农产品调研数据统计,截止2025年9月18日 红枣本周36家样本点物理库存在9247吨,较上周减少74吨,环比减少0.79%,同 比增加80.64%,样本点库存小幅下降。销区市场到货量少量,下游采购积极性一 般,双节备货力度一般整体成交氛围偏弱。 策略建议:操作上,建议郑枣2601合约短期逢高抛空思路对待。 「 周度要点小结」 「 期现市场情况」 本周红枣期货价格走势 图1、郑枣主力合约价格走势 | | M红枣2601 CJ601 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | म्बर के समय क ...
瑞达期货红枣产业日报-20250917
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-09-17 09:22
红枣产业日报 2025-09-17 研究员: 王翠冰 期货从业资格号F03139616 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0021556 免责声明 本报告中的信息均来源于公开可获得资料,瑞达期货股份有限公司力求准确可靠,但对这些信息的准确性及完整性不做任 何保证,据此投资,责任自负。本报告不构成个人投资建议,客户应考虑本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况。本 报告版权仅为我公司所有,未经书面许可,任何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版、复制和发布。如引用、刊发,需注明出处为 瑞达期货股份有限公司研究院,且不得对本报告进行有悖原意的引用、删节和修改。 | 数据指标 | 项目类别 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货主力合约收盘价:红枣(日,元/吨) | 期货市场 | 10815 | 10 主力合约持仓量:红枣(日,手) | 143509 | 2418 | | 期货前20名持仓:净买单量:红枣(日,手) | | -4072 | -754 仓单数量:红枣(日,张) | 8871 | -29 | | 有效仓单预报:红枣:小计( ...
红枣市场周报-20250912
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-09-12 09:56
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - This week, the price of the main contract of Zhengzhou jujube rebounded, with a weekly increase of about 1.41%. The temperature in the main production areas of Xinjiang grey jujube is between 15°C - 31°C, and the jujube trees have entered the sugar - increasing period. There may be light rain in mid - to late September, and attention should be paid to the actual rainfall and jujube fruit quality changes [10]. - As of September 11, 2025, the physical inventory of 36 sample points of jujubes this week was 9321 tons, a decrease of 89 tons from last week, a month - on - month decrease of 0.95% and a year - on - year increase of 78.32%. The inventory of sample points decreased slightly. The arrival volume in the sales area market is low, the downstream purchasing enthusiasm is average, and the overall trading atmosphere is light. The mentality of holders has clearly diverged, and some are reluctant to sell and are waiting to see the future market. The supply - demand contradiction has not been effectively alleviated, and the market is still in a state of seeking direction in dynamic balance [10]. - It is recommended to wait and see for the short - term operation of the Zhengzhou jujube 2601 contract [10]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Week - on - Week Key Points Summary - Future trading tips include spot price and consumer end [10]. - The price of the main contract of Zhengzhou jujube rebounded this week, with a weekly increase of about 1.41% [10]. - The temperature in the main production areas of Xinjiang grey jujube is between 15°C - 31°C, and the jujube trees have entered the sugar - increasing period. There may be light rain in mid - to late September, and attention should be paid to the actual rainfall and jujube fruit quality changes [10]. - As of September 11, 2025, the physical inventory of 36 sample points of jujubes this week was 9321 tons, a decrease of 89 tons from last week, a month - on - month decrease of 0.95% and a year - on - year increase of 78.32%. The inventory of sample points decreased slightly [10][38]. - The arrival volume in the sales area market is low, the downstream purchasing enthusiasm is average, and the overall trading atmosphere is light. The mentality of holders has clearly diverged, and some are reluctant to sell and are waiting to see the future market. The supply - demand contradiction has not been effectively alleviated, and the market is still in a state of seeking direction in dynamic balance [10]. - It is recommended to wait and see for the short - term operation of the Zhengzhou jujube 2601 contract [10]. 3.2 Futures and Spot Market Conditions - This week, the price of the main contract of Zhengzhou jujube: the selling price is 11155, the buying price is 11150, the latest price is 11155 with a decline of 30 or 0.27%, the current volume is 2, the trading volume is 94651, the open interest is 133338, the daily increase is - 4322, the highest price is 11270, the lowest price is 11110, the outside market volume is 46470, the settlement price is 11190, the ratio of Inner Mongolia is 50.9%, the limit - up price is 12080, and the limit - down price is 10290 [11]. - As of this week, the net position of the top 20 in jujube futures is - 4977 lots [12]. - As of this week, the number of Zhengzhou jujube warehouse receipts is 9986 [17]. - As of this week, the price difference between the 2601 contract and the 2605 contract of Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange jujube futures is - 135 yuan/ton [20]. - As of this week, the basis between the spot price of Hebei grey jujube and the main contract of jujube futures is - 665 yuan/ton [23]. - As of September 12, 2025, the purchase price of jujube bulk goods in Aksu is 4.80 yuan/kg, in Alar is 5.2 yuan/kg, and in Kashgar is 6.0 yuan/kg [26]. - As of September 12, 2025, the wholesale price of first - grade grey jujubes in Cangzhou, Hebei and Henan is 4.75 yuan/jin [30]. - As of September 12, 2025, the spot price of special - grade grey jujubes in Cangzhou, Hebei is 10.49 yuan/kg, and the wholesale price in Henan is 10.5 yuan/kg [34]. 3.3 Industrial Chain Situation - Supply side: As of September 11, 2025, the physical inventory of 36 sample points of jujubes this week was 9321 tons, a decrease of 89 tons from last week, a month - on - month decrease of 0.95% and a year - on - year increase of 78.32%. The inventory of sample points decreased slightly [10][38]. - Supply side: The jujube production has recovered significantly. In the 2024/25 production season, the jujube production increased to 606.9 million tons [41]. - Demand side: As of July 31, 2025, the monthly export volume of jujubes was 1784164 kg, a month - on - month increase of 1.08%; from January to July 2025, the cumulative export volume was 18899838 kg, a month - on - month increase of 10.42% [43]. - Demand side: The trading of BOCE Xinjiang Jujube Good Brand is cold, and there were only a small number of transactions in the order volume this week [48]. 3.4 Option Market and Futures - Stock Correlation - Option market: The implied volatility of at - the - money options of jujubes this week is presented in the figure, but no specific data is given [49]. - Stock market: The price - earnings ratio of Hao Xiang Ni is presented in the figure, but no specific data is given [51][52].
红枣市场周报-20250905
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-09-05 09:37
瑞达期货研究院 「2025.09.05」 红枣市场周报 研究员:王翠冰 期货从业资格号F03139616 期货投资咨询从业证Z0021556 取 更 多 资 讯 添加客服 关 注 我 们 获 业务咨询 目录 1、周度要点小结 2、期现市场 3、产业情况 4、期权市场及期股关联 「 周度要点小结」 未来交易提示: 1、现货价格2、消费端 3 行情回顾:本周郑枣主力合约价格下跌,周度跌幅约4.43%。 行情展望:销区市场,到货量偏少,下游采购积极性一般,成交氛围冷清。据 Mysteel 农产品调研数据统计,截止2025年9月4日红枣本周36家样本点物理库存 在9410吨,较上周减少46吨,环比减少0.49%,同比增加76.45%,样本点库存小 幅下降,降幅仍相对有限,供应压力仍在。当前红枣市场处于"青黄不接"的关键 时期,市场情绪和价格走势复杂交织,矛盾与博弈并存。总体来说,下游需求 表现疲软,旧作库存仍较高,供需矛盾尚未得到有效缓解,现货价格开始松动, 红枣期货震荡偏弱走势。 策略建议:操作上,建议郑枣2601合约短期暂且观望。 「 期现市场情况」 来源:郑商所 瑞达期货研究院 「 期现市场情况」 本周郑枣期货 ...
瑞达期货红枣产业日报-20250903
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-09-03 08:42
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The market recognizes the reduction in the output of new - season Xinjiang gray dates, but there are certain differences in output estimates [2]. - Downstream demand is weak, market purchasing and sales are average, and old - crop inventories are in a slow de - stocking process. Spot prices are running smoothly, and red date futures are in a volatile trend. Future attention should be paid to the actual output and opening price performance. It is recommended to wait and see for now [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - The closing price of the futures main contract for red dates is 11,325 yuan/ton, a decrease of 55 yuan; the main contract position is 136,718 lots, an increase of 4,526 lots [2]. - The net long position of the top 20 futures holders is 1,801 lots, and the number of warehouse receipts is 10,037, with an effective warehouse receipt forecast of 737 lots [2]. 现货市场 - The unified - grade red date prices in Kashgar, Alar, and Aksu are 6 yuan/kg, 5.2 yuan/kg, and 4.8 yuan/kg respectively; the wholesale prices of first - grade gray dates in Hebei and Henan are 4.8 yuan/jin and 4.75 yuan/jin respectively [2]. - The prices of special - grade red dates in Henan, Hebei, and Guangdong are 10.5 yuan/kg, 10.5 yuan/kg, and 11.7 yuan/kg respectively; the price of first - grade red dates in Guangdong is 10.6 yuan/kg [2]. Upstream Market - The annual output of red dates is 3.187 million tons, and the planting area is 1.993 million hectares, a decrease of 4.1% [2]. Industry Situation - The national red date inventory is 9,456 tons, a decrease of 63 tons from last week, a 0.66% month - on - month decrease and a 74.95% year - on - year increase [2]. - The monthly export volume of red dates is 1,784,164 kg, an increase of 19,057 kg; the cumulative export volume is 18,899,838 kg [2]. Downstream Situation - The wholesale price of red dates in the Hexi Agricultural and Sideline Products Market in Taiyuan, Shanxi is 1.47 yuan/kg, a decrease of 8 yuan [2]. - The cumulative sales volume of red dates of HaoXiangNi is 36,480.43 tons, a decrease of 2,981.06 tons; the cumulative year - on - year output growth rate is - 34.59% [2]. Industry News - On September 3, the weather in Alar was sunny with temperatures between 15 - 31°C. Jujube farmers were actively engaged in field management. Attention should be paid to the impact of rainfall in September on jujube fruits [2]. - On Wednesday, the red date 2601 contract closed down 0.57%. In 2024, the red date output increased year - on - year, resulting in old - crop inventories being much higher than the same period last year [2].
瑞达期货红枣产业日报-20250902
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-09-02 09:27
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core View of the Report - The market recognizes the potential reduction in the output of Xinjiang grey dates in the new season, but there are differences in the output estimates. Overall, the downstream demand is weak, market purchases and sales are average, the old inventory is in a slow de - stocking process, the spot price is stable, and the jujube futures show a volatile trend. It is recommended to wait and see for now, and pay attention to the actual output and opening price in the future [2] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - The closing price of the main futures contract for jujube is 11,380 yuan/ton, the main contract's open interest is 132,192 lots (a decrease of 3,645 lots), the net long position of the top 20 futures holders is - 11,646 lots (an increase of 3,250 lots), the number of warehouse receipts is 10,089, and the total valid warehouse receipt forecasts is 737 [2] 现货市场 - The prices of jujube in different regions vary. For example, the unified - grade jujube price in Kashgar is 6 yuan/kg, the first - grade grey jujube wholesale price in Hebei is 4.8 yuan/jin, and the special - grade jujube price in Guangdong is 11.7 yuan/kg [2] Upstream Market - The annual jujube output is 6.069 million tons (an increase of 3.187 million tons), and the planting area is 1.993 million hectares (a decrease of 41,000 hectares) [2] Industry Conditions - The national jujube inventory is 9,456 tons (a decrease of 63 tons compared to last week, a 0.66% decrease), the monthly jujube export volume is 1,784,164 kg (an increase of 19,057 kg), and the cumulative monthly jujube export volume is 18,899,838 kg (an increase of 1,784,164 kg) [2] Downstream Conditions - The jujube wholesale price in the Hexi Agricultural and Sideline Products Market in Taiyuan, Shanxi is not clearly stated (a decrease of 8), the cumulative quarterly jujube sales volume of好想你is 36,480.43 tons (a decrease of 2,981.06 tons), and the cumulative quarterly jujube output growth rate of好想你is 1.47% (a decrease of 34.59%) [2] Industry News - On September 2, the weather in Aksu was sunny with a temperature between 13 - 27°C. Jujube farmers were actively engaged in field management. The mainstream per - mu yield was 700 - 800 kg, and the first - crop large fruits were gradually turning red. Attention should be paid to rainfall. On Tuesday, the jujube 2601 contract closed down 0.39%. The jujube output in 2024 increased year - on - year, resulting in the old inventory being much higher than the same period last year [2]
瑞达期货红枣产业日报-20250901
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-09-01 08:58
红枣产业日报 2025-09-01 市关注实际产量以及开秤价表现。操作上,建议暂时观望。 研究员: 张昕 期货从业资格号F03109641 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0018457 免责声明 本报告中的信息均来源于公开可获得资料,瑞达期货股份有限公司力求准确可靠,但对这些信息的准确性及完整性不做任 何保证,据此投资,责任自负。本报告不构成个人投资建议,客户应考虑本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况。本 报告版权仅为我公司所有,未经书面许可,任何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版、复制和发布。如引用、刊发,需注明出处为 瑞达期货股份有限公司研究院,且不得对本报告进行有悖原意的引用、删节和修改。 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 期货主力合约收盘价:红枣(日,元/吨) | 11340 | | -170 主力合约持仓量:红枣(日,手) | 135837 | 4162 -2 | | | 期货前20名持仓:净买单量:红枣(日,手) | -14896 | | -469 ...
红枣市场周报:库存缓慢下降,红枣震荡偏强-20250829
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-08-29 08:41
瑞达期货研究院 「2025.08.29」 红枣市场周报 库存缓慢下降,红枣震荡偏强 研究员:张昕 期货从业资格号F03109641 期货投资咨询从业证Z0018457 取 更 多 资 讯 业务咨询 添加客服 关 注 我 们 获 目录 1、周度要点小结 2、期现市场 3、产业情况 4、期权市场及期股关联 「 周度要点小结」 行情回顾:本周郑枣主力价格上涨,周度涨幅2.45%。 行情展望:2024年红枣产量同比增长,导致旧作库存高于去年同期。据Mysteel 农产品调研数据统计,第35周36家样本点红枣物理库存在9456吨,较上周减少 63吨,环比减少0.66%,同比增加74.95%,样本点库存下降。销区到货量少,同 时下游采购积极性不高,导致购销清淡。市场对新季新疆灰枣减产认可,但是 产量预估存在一定分歧,关注9月降雨情况。总体来说,下游需求表现疲软,市 场购销一般,旧作库存处于缓慢去库存进程,基本面变化不大,新作减产情况 等待验证,红枣期货震荡略偏强,后市关注实际产量以及开秤价表现。操作上, 建议暂时观望。 未来交易提示: 1、天气影响 2、消费端 3 「 期现市场情况」 本周红枣期货价格走势 图1、郑枣主力 ...