纺织服装投资策略
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中信证券纺织服装2026年投资策略:判断制造板块的关税扰动有望逐步消退,品牌端建议关注复苏机遇及高增细分赛道
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-25 00:42
中信证券研报称,2025年,纺织制造与品牌端分别经历了外部环境的压力测试,关税冲击与宏观环境压 力扰动龙头公司经营,但龙头公司仍展现了优异的经营韧性。展望2026年,我们判断制造板块的关税扰 动有望逐步消退,品牌端建议关注复苏机遇及高增细分赛道。综合梳理三条投资主线:一、纺织制造板 块中,关税扰动逐渐消退,长期增长趋势不改,同时2026年各龙头代工厂订单展望积极,盈利能力有望 触底回升,同时部分龙头公司仍存在较大估值回升弹性。二、品牌服饰板块中,参考海外龙头品牌公司 走出2008年金融危机的经验,通过低谷期修炼内功,本土品牌有望抓住零售复苏带来的经营改善机遇。 三、户外运动主线,户外鞋服是鞋服行业中的景气度最高的赛道之一,行业增长呈现提速趋势。同时除 户外鞋服以外,部分户外装备赛道同样处于高景气周期。 ...
纺织服装2026年度投资策略:价值为锚,破“卷”立新
Guoxin Securities· 2025-11-16 11:50
Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of value as an anchor in the textile and apparel industry, suggesting a shift towards innovative strategies to break through competitive pressures [1][3]. Group 1: 2025 Review - The textile and apparel index underperformed the broader market, with brand performance under pressure and manufacturing showing a high-to-low trend [4][9]. - Retail sales growth for apparel remained stable, with online channels outperforming offline, particularly in the second and third quarters [18][19]. - The overall performance of the textile manufacturing sector showed a decline in exports due to tariff impacts, with a notable slowdown in growth rates [28][30]. Group 2: 2026 Main Lines - The report identifies three main investment themes for 2026: 1. The outdoor sports segment is expected to thrive, focusing on niche positioning and technological innovation [3][5]. 2. High-quality products are anticipated to drive new demand, with opportunities in the trillion-yuan market for breakthrough players [3][5]. 3. Trade stability is expected, favoring leading manufacturers with improving market share and efficiency [3][5]. Group 3: Investment Recommendations - Investors are advised to focus on three key areas: outdoor sports, quality manufacturing, and brand innovation, with specific companies highlighted for their growth potential [5][6]. - Notable companies include Anta Sports, Li Ning, and Shenzhou International, which are positioned well for future growth [5][6]. Group 4: Company Performance - The report provides detailed earnings forecasts and investment ratings for key companies, indicating a generally positive outlook for the sector despite recent challenges [6][7]. - Companies like Anta Sports and Li Ning are projected to maintain strong earnings per share (EPS) growth, with respective forecasts of 5.42 and 1.09 for 2026 [6].