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高智商 ≠ 高财商?50天实盘测试:LMArena 高分王者也可能是「韭菜」
机器之心· 2025-11-02 03:10
Core Insights - The article discusses the development of LiveTradeBench, a platform designed to evaluate large language models (LLMs) in real-time trading scenarios, marking a shift from static assessments to dynamic decision-making in financial markets [3][11][34] Group 1: Introduction to LiveTradeBench - LiveTradeBench is initiated by a research team from the University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, focusing on assessing LLMs' capabilities in real-world trading environments [2] - The platform aims to test LLMs' perception, reasoning, and decision-making abilities through real market dynamics, moving beyond traditional static benchmarks [3][8] Group 2: Key Innovations - LiveTradeBench introduces three core innovations: continuous decision-making, portfolio management, and live trading evaluation, which differentiate it from previous benchmarks [12] - The platform connects directly to real-time stock and prediction market data, eliminating information leakage and allowing for genuine market interaction [15] Group 3: Investment Decision Modeling - The investment decision-making process in LiveTradeBench is modeled as a partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP), requiring LLMs to infer and act based on limited information [19] - The model receives observations that include position information, market prices, and news, enabling it to make informed asset allocation decisions [20][21] Group 4: Performance Evaluation - A 50-day real-world test was conducted on 21 mainstream LLMs, revealing that static reasoning does not equate to effective dynamic decision-making in complex market environments [30] - The results indicated a lack of correlation between high scores in static assessments and actual market performance, highlighting the need for a redefinition of "intelligence" in LLMs [31] Group 5: Future Directions - LiveTradeBench opens new dimensions for evaluating intelligent agents, emphasizing the importance of environmental feedback and continuous decision-making in future AI developments [34] - The platform encourages further research and collaboration in the field of large model agents, inviting students and researchers to engage with ongoing projects [36]