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结构性促消费政策
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中国民营经济研究会副会长、万博新经济研究院院长滕泰:总量性促消费政策关键在于增加居民收入
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-12-26 16:44
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that China needs to shift from structural consumption policies to aggregate consumption policies to stimulate economic growth, especially in light of the recent slowdown in consumption growth [1] - In the first 11 months of the year, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 45.6067 trillion yuan, with a growth rate of 4.0%. However, there was a decline in consumption growth in October and November [1] - The key to aggregate consumption policies lies in increasing residents' income and implementing interest rate cuts. The government can stimulate consumption through income or consumption subsidies, ideally without designating specific goods [1] Group 2 - A projected 1 trillion yuan in consumption subsidies could generate a demand growth effect that far exceeds the impact of 1 trillion yuan in investment, significantly promoting economic circulation [1] - Monetary policy plays a crucial role in expanding domestic demand, with room for interest rate cuts. The direction of moderately loose monetary policy and flexible interest rate adjustments has been clearly outlined in the Central Economic Work Conference [1] - During the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, there was a significant increase in residents' savings, and if some of these funds flow into the securities market during the "15th Five-Year Plan," it could lead to substantial market capitalization growth [1][2]