结构性对策
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张军扩:长短兼顾标本兼治 持续有效扩大内需
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-12-30 22:20
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese economy shows resilience but faces significant issues with strong supply and weak demand, necessitating structural measures to unleash consumer potential and expand effective investment to promote sustained economic recovery [1][2]. Group 1: Structural Countermeasures - The expansion of domestic demand policies this year has been extensive and impactful, yet problems of insufficient market demand, strong supply, and weak prices remain prominent [2]. - To stimulate consumer demand, it is suggested to implement counter-cyclical consumption stimulus policies, optimize the support range and structure for commodity consumption, and focus on subsidies in essential areas such as education, healthcare, and elderly care to boost consumer confidence [2]. - Effective implementation of a resident income growth plan is crucial to enhance social security and public service levels for low-income groups, thereby improving safety expectations and consumer confidence [2]. - Strengthening supply-side policies is necessary by reducing entry restrictions, optimizing regulatory policies, and enhancing domestic standards and brand development to expand the supply of quality services [2]. Group 2: Expanding Effective Investment - Alongside releasing consumer potential, there is a need to focus on expanding effective investment for a positive interaction between consumption and investment [3]. - A new model for urban and rural construction and real estate development should be established, moving away from large-scale, rough urban construction towards investments that enhance urban environments and housing quality, addressing demands for urban renewal and rural infrastructure improvements [3]. - There is a call to significantly boost private and foreign investment by deepening reforms, expanding openness, and improving the business environment to stabilize and enhance corporate expectations and confidence [3].
张军扩:长短兼顾标本兼治持续有效扩大内需
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-12-30 21:11
Core Viewpoint - The resilience of China's economy is evident, but there are significant issues with strong supply and weak demand, necessitating structural measures to unleash consumer potential and expand effective investment to promote sustained economic recovery [1]. Structural Countermeasures - The extensive range and significant strength of domestic demand expansion policies this year have yielded positive results, yet issues of insufficient market demand, strong supply but weak demand, and weak prices remain prominent. The lack of consumer demand is influenced by both short-term fluctuations and long-term structural constraints, highlighting the need for structural countermeasures [1]. Stimulating Consumer Demand - To stimulate consumer demand, three key recommendations are proposed: 1. Implement counter-cyclical consumption stimulus policies that optimize the support range and structure for commodity consumption while maintaining total volume and sustained effort, focusing on subsidies in essential areas such as education, healthcare, and elderly care to boost consumer willingness [2]. 2. Effectively implement a resident income growth plan to enhance social security and public service levels for low-income groups, thereby improving safety expectations and consumer confidence [2]. 3. Strengthen supply-side policies by reducing entry restrictions, optimizing regulatory policies, and enhancing domestic standards, brands, and environmental construction to expand the supply of quality services [2]. Expanding Effective Investment - In addition to releasing consumer potential, there is a need to focus on expanding effective investment for a positive interaction. Two main focal points are identified: 1. Accelerate the formation of a new model for urban and rural construction and real estate development that aligns with the new stage of development, moving away from large-scale, extensive urban construction and real estate investment towards investments that enhance urban environments and housing quality [2]. 2. Promote private and foreign investment by deepening reforms, expanding openness, and improving the business environment to stabilize and enhance corporate expectations and confidence [3].
张军扩:释放居民消费潜力应更加突出结构性对策
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-27 07:26
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that China's economy shows strong resilience overall, but there are significant issues with supply exceeding demand, leading to challenges for business development [1] - The Central Economic Work Conference has prioritized expanding domestic demand, emphasizing the need to build a strong domestic market [2] Group 2 - Zhang Junkuo highlighted the importance of addressing both short-term and long-term structural issues to effectively release consumer potential, noting that demand insufficiency is influenced by both short-term market fluctuations and deeper structural factors [3] - He emphasized the need for short-term stimulus policies to interrupt negative cycles while also addressing deeper issues to stabilize economic growth [4] Group 3 - Zhang pointed out that the structural reasons for low consumer spending include a long-term low consumption rate, estimated to be 10% to 20% below potential, primarily due to the relatively low share of household income in national income and inadequate social security [6] - He proposed that during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, structural measures should be prioritized to effectively release consumer demand, including counter-cyclical consumption stimulus policies and increased support for service consumption [6] Group 4 - Zhang also stressed the need to implement a resident income increase plan effectively, with a focus on enhancing social security and public services for low-income groups to boost consumer confidence [7] - Additionally, he called for increased supply-side policy efforts, such as reducing entry restrictions and optimizing regulatory policies to expand the supply of quality services [7]