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南网能源:大股东增持彰显信心,继续立足优势打造核心竞争力-20250420
Soochow Securities· 2025-04-20 10:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The major shareholder, Southern Power Grid, plans to increase its stake in the company by no less than 150 million and no more than 300 million RMB, which will account for up to 2% of the total share capital, reflecting confidence in the company's long-term investment value [2][7] - The company is transitioning from comprehensive energy to a focus on "comprehensive energy + energy conservation and carbon reduction," which is expected to enhance its core competitiveness [7] - The company has experienced a significant reduction in asset impairment related to biomass projects, allowing it to refocus on its core energy-saving business [7] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 2,988 million RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 3.46%, and is expected to reach 4,500 million RMB by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.90% [1][8] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 310.74 million RMB in 2023, with a significant recovery to 674.85 million RMB by 2027, indicating a strong rebound after a projected loss in 2024 [1][8] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is expected to improve from 0.08 RMB in 2023 to 0.18 RMB in 2027, with a corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio decreasing from 51.56 to 23.74 over the same period [1][8] Operational Highlights - The company's total installed capacity increased by 31.76% year-on-year to 3,084,600 kW in 2024, with a robust pipeline of distributed photovoltaic projects [7] - Operating cash flow for 2024 is projected to be 1,428 million RMB, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 38.62% [7][8] - The company plans to invest over 3 billion RMB in external investments in 2025, indicating a strong commitment to growth [7]