绿电+储能一体化
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储能东风起,锂电材料景气加速
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-11-09 05:50
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the basic chemical industry [4] Core Insights - The global resonance in energy storage demand is expected to lead to explosive growth in storage needs by 2025, driven by domestic pricing reforms and international policies [2][15] - The supply chain for energy storage is heavily concentrated in China, which is projected to benefit significantly from the accelerating global storage cycle [2][28] - The current lithium battery materials cycle is characterized by structural shortages, leading to a new round of price increases [3][52] Summary by Sections 1. Energy Storage: Global Resonance and Demand Surge - Energy storage is a crucial tool for energy regulation, enhancing the predictability and controllability of renewable energy sources [8] - Strong policy support is anticipated to drive an 80% year-over-year increase in global energy storage demand by 2025 [15] - China is expected to dominate the global energy storage market, with over 93% market share in battery cells and 76% in storage systems by 2025 [28][31] 2. AIDC Energy Storage: NVIDIA's Leadership and Future Demand - NVIDIA's white paper emphasizes the necessity of integrating energy storage into power architectures, projecting a significant increase in demand for energy storage in data centers by 2030 [2][32] - The global demand for AIDC energy storage is expected to rise from 16.5 GWh in 2024 to 209.4 GWh by 2030, indicating explosive growth [47][50] 3. Energy Storage Materials: Structural Shortages and Price Increases - The current lithium battery cycle is driven by upstream demand, particularly for energy storage, leading to saturation in orders and accelerated production at battery manufacturers [3][52] - Lithium hexafluorophosphate is experiencing a new price surge, with prices rising significantly from previous lows, indicating strong price elasticity [52][53] - Phosphate iron lithium is facing structural shortages due to high demand, with production increasing by 70.2% year-over-year [3][52]