美元动能衰减
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双重利好助推金价创一周半新高 聚焦晚间美关键数据
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-11-25 06:15
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the recent surge in gold prices, attributed to expectations of a dovish stance from the Federal Reserve, with a significant probability of a rate cut in December [1][2] - The New York Fed President John Williams indicated that a rate cut would not threaten the Fed's inflation targets, while Fed Governor Christopher Waller supported the conditions for a 25 basis point cut due to a weak labor market [2] - The futures market shows an 80% probability for a rate cut to the range of 3.50%-3.75% in December, which has suppressed the recent rebound of the US dollar [2] Group 2 - Geopolitical tensions, particularly the recent Russian attacks on Ukraine, are contributing to the demand for safe-haven assets like gold, as ongoing conflicts create uncertainty in the market [3] - The market is closely monitoring upcoming US economic data, including the Producer Price Index (PPI) and retail sales, which may influence the dollar's performance and provide short-term trading opportunities for gold [3] - Technical analysis indicates that gold prices have confirmed support in the $4030-$4040 range, with potential upward movement towards $4177-$4178 and possibly testing the monthly high of $4244.96 [4]