美元反弹风险
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艾紫馨:黄金白银如期回调
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-18 13:49
Group 1 - The US dollar has experienced a slight increase for the second consecutive trading day, disregarding market expectations of approximately three interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year [1][5] - Recent bearish sentiment towards the dollar has eased, with the front-end risk reversal indicator dropping to its lowest negative level in nearly a month [1][5] - The currency market anticipates that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by about 64 basis points by the end of the year, although some strategists believe this expectation is excessive, potentially leading to a rebound in the dollar [1][5] Group 2 - The technical analysis of spot gold indicates a small bearish candle on the daily chart, with the Bollinger Bands narrowing, suggesting a potential new price direction [2][6] - The overall trend for gold remains upward, but there is a phase of downward movement in the medium term, with short-term price corrections being monitored [2][6] - Key support levels for gold are identified at 4842, 4794, and 4762, while resistance levels are at 4906, 4940, and 4968 [2][6] Group 3 - The trend for spot silver shows wide fluctuations, with a medium-term downward phase and ongoing short-term price corrections [3][7] - Short-term resistance levels for silver are noted at 74.6 and 77.5, while support levels are at 72.1 and 70.5 [3][7]