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特朗普关税担忧 美元避险压制欧元
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-10-27 06:31
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the Euro/USD exchange rate is influenced by both Eurozone economic data and trade dynamics, with the current trading price around 1.1622, showing a slight decline of 0.04% from the previous day's close of 1.1627 [1] - Eurozone business activity in October has shown stronger-than-expected growth, particularly in the services sector, with the HSS PMI index exceeding market predictions, providing immediate support for the Euro [1] - Despite the weak US CPI data being favorable for the Euro, the market has already priced in the potential for Federal Reserve rate cuts, limiting the Euro's upward movement [1] Group 2 - Technical analysis of the Euro/USD indicates that the currency pair is trading above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level from the swing high of 1.1728 to the swing low of 1.1576, facing resistance at the 1.1650 level and the 100 simple moving average [2] - A potential breakout above the 1.1690 resistance could push the currency pair towards 1.1750, while failure to break above 1.1650 may lead to a decline, with support expected at 1.1610 and major support at 1.1540 [2] - If the price closes below the 1.1540 area, it could trigger a significant retracement towards 1.1500, with further declines potentially testing the 1.1440 level [2]