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嘉实基金方晗:2026年权益市场理性偏乐观 聚焦AI应用与内需板块
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-23 10:31
Core Viewpoint - The 2026 equity market is expected to be rationally optimistic, with a potential for the third consecutive year of positive returns, driven by significant changes in market style and structure, with index heights likely determined by domestic demand sectors [3][4][8] Group 1: Market Overview - In 2025, the market experienced substantial growth led by strong structural factors, with key indices showing significant increases and investors benefiting greatly [3][7] - The market's performance was characterized by four major phases: the beginning of the year saw a reshaping of Chinese tech asset valuations; the second quarter faced external disturbances leading to a correction; the third quarter saw a resurgence of funds and active trading; and the fourth quarter concluded with a solid finish [3][7] Group 2: Investment Themes - Market pricing in 2025 revolved around three main themes: the investment wave driven by AI technology applications; the revaluation of strategic resources driven by AI infrastructure demand; and the enhancement of China's manufacturing competitiveness leading to the overseas expansion of advantageous industries [3][4][7] - For 2026, the market is entering the third year of the stock-bond cycle, with both asset classes expected to perform well [4][8] Group 3: Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to adopt a steady and forward-looking approach, focusing on two main types of opportunities: mid-to-low tier stocks related to "AI+" downstream applications and upstream materials, as well as low-tier domestic demand sectors benefiting from profit recovery and policies aimed at expanding domestic demand [4][8]