肿瘤微环境特异激活(TMEA)平台
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昂利康(002940):重大事项点评:莱古比星入选ESMO LBA,平台得到进一步验证
Huachuang Securities· 2025-10-22 01:12
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, expecting it to outperform the benchmark index by over 20% in the next six months [4][24]. Core Insights - The company's innovative chemotherapy drug, Legubixin, has shown impressive results in Phase III trials, which have been selected for oral presentation at ESMO 2025. The drug demonstrates both efficacy and safety, validating the Tumor Microenvironment Specific Activation (TMEA) platform mechanism [2][8]. - The first innovative drug from the company's deep collaboration pipeline, ALK-N001, is also based on the same platform, and its future progress is worth monitoring [2]. Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue is projected to decline from 1,538 million in 2024 to 1,470 million in 2025, before increasing to 1,806 million in 2026 and 2,234 million in 2027, reflecting a growth rate of -5.4%, -4.4%, 22.9%, and 23.7% respectively [4][9]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to drop significantly from 80 million in 2024 to 131 million in 2025, then rise to 210 million in 2026 and 282 million in 2027, with growth rates of -41.9%, 62.8%, 60.5%, and 34.4% respectively [4][9]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to increase from 0.40 yuan in 2024 to 0.65 yuan in 2025, 1.04 yuan in 2026, and 1.40 yuan in 2027 [4][9]. - The target price for the stock is set at 52.05 yuan, compared to the current price of 38.92 yuan [4]. Market Comparison - The company's stock has shown a significant performance increase of 119% over the past 12 months, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index [7].