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圣农发展(002299):公司信息更新报告:生产效率持续提升,并表太阳谷增厚利润
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-08-20 02:03
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has shown continuous improvement in production efficiency, with significant profit growth attributed to investment income, particularly from the consolidation of Sun Valley, which contributed approximately 5.4-5.5 billion yuan [1][4] - The revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 8.856 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.22%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company surged by 791.93% to 910 million yuan [1][4] - The company has adjusted its profit forecast upwards, expecting net profits of 1.338 billion yuan, 1.572 billion yuan, and 1.750 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [1][4] Financial Performance - In H1 2025, domestic business revenue was 8.012 billion yuan, up 1.29% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 11.85%, an increase of 2.29 percentage points [5] - The overseas business, particularly in the Russian market, saw revenue of 354 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.71% [5] - The poultry breeding and processing segment reported revenue of 4.674 billion yuan, down 8.17% year-on-year, but the sales volume of chicken meat increased by 2.50% to 660,900 tons [6] - The food processing segment experienced a revenue increase of 19.10% to 3.693 billion yuan, with processed meat product sales rising by 13.21% [7] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected at 1.08 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 15.9, 13.5, and 12.2 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [1][8] - The company’s total revenue is expected to grow from 18.487 billion yuan in 2023 to 21.873 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate [8][10] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to increase from 664 million yuan in 2023 to 1.750 billion yuan in 2027, indicating strong growth potential [8][10]