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中航沈飞(600760):Q2环比改善显著 全年业绩有望修复
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-29 00:32
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, but showed signs of recovery in Q2, driven by increased contract liabilities and accelerated product delivery [1] Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 14.628 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 32.35%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.136 billion yuan, down 29.78% [1] - Q1 2025 revenue was 5.834 billion yuan, down 38.55%, while Q2 revenue rebounded to 8.795 billion yuan, up 50.76% [1] - Q2 net profit was 706 million yuan, reflecting a 63.93% increase from Q1 [1] Profitability - The company's gross margin for H1 2025 was 12.25%, a decrease of 0.28 percentage points, while the net profit margin was 7.74%, an increase of 0.27 percentage points [2] - The company maintained a high level of profitability, with a period expense ratio of 3.68%, and is expected to improve further with the delivery of new models [2] Accounts and Inventory - Accounts receivable and notes totaled 18.635 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 30.90%, while inventory rose to 11.515 billion yuan, up 59.47% [2] - Prepayments decreased to 2.986 billion yuan, down 54.48% year-on-year, indicating proactive preparation for future deliveries [2] Related Transactions - The company anticipates a significant increase in related party transactions in 2025, estimated at 49.437 billion yuan, a growth of 51.88% compared to 2024 [3] - The expected purchase of raw materials and services from related parties is projected to be 19.158 billion yuan, up 54.18% [3] - The increase in related transactions reflects the company's positive outlook on contract signing and procurement delivery [3] Profit Forecast - The company is a leader in the aerospace defense equipment sector with strong core competitiveness, projecting net profits of 3.959 billion yuan, 5.298 billion yuan, and 6.278 billion yuan for 2025 to 2027, respectively [4] - Corresponding EPS for these years are expected to be 1.44, 1.92, and 2.28 yuan, with PE ratios of 44.68, 33.39, and 28.17 times [4]