融资情绪
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八大指标看当前市场情绪到什么位置了?
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2026-01-13 00:06
Market Turnover - The current turnover rate of the entire A-share market (MA5) is 2.4%, with a peak of 2.58% at the end of August last year and a maximum of 3.15% in October 2024 [1] Financing Sentiment - The current financing sentiment indicator, measured by the ratio of the recent 20-day financing buy amount to the recent 60-day financing buy amount, stands at 36%, with historically overheated levels above 40% [3] Financing Buy Proportion - The current proportion of financing buy is 11.26%, with a peak of 12.09% in October last year and a historical maximum of 18% in 2015 [4] A-Shares Above 30-Day Average - The current proportion of A-shares above the 30-day average is 66.8%, with historically overheated levels around 80% [7] Retail Investor Net Inflow - The current net inflow of retail investors, measured by small orders, has a 20-day moving average of 27.5 billion yuan, with peaks close to 40 billion yuan in February and September last year [8] New Highs in A-Shares - The current proportion of A-shares reaching new highs over the last 60 days is 11.27%, with historically overheated levels around 20% [9] Relative Strength Index (RSI) - The current RSI for the entire A-share market (14-day) is 80.4, with a peak of 82.3 at the end of July last year and a maximum of 91.3 in October 2024 [10] Stock-Bond Risk Premium - The current stock-bond risk premium for the entire A-share market is near -0.5 standard deviations from the rolling five-year average [16]
兴证策略:八大指标看当前市场情绪到什么位置了?
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-12 11:12
Key Points - The current turnover rate of the entire A-share market (MA5) is at 2.4%, with a peak of 2.58% in late August last year and a maximum of 3.15% expected in October 2024 [1][17] - The financing sentiment indicator, measured as "recent 20-day financing buy-in amount / recent 60-day financing buy-in amount," stands at 36%, with historical overheating levels above 40% [3][19] - The current proportion of financing buy-in is 11.26%, with a peak of 12.09% in October last year and a historical high of 18% in 2015 [4][22] - The net inflow from retail investors, measured by small orders, has a 20-day moving average of 27.5 billion yuan, with peaks close to 40 billion yuan in February and September last year [7][21] - The proportion of stocks above the 30-day moving average in the entire A-share market is currently 66.8%, with historical overheating levels around 80% [9][24] - The proportion of stocks reaching a 60-day new high in the entire A-share market is currently 11.27%, with historical overheating levels at 20% [26] - The current equity-bond risk premium for the entire A-share market is near -0.5 standard deviations from the rolling five-year average [11][28] - The current RSI (Relative Strength Index) for the entire A-share market is at 80.4, with a peak of 82.3 at the end of July last year and a maximum of 91.3 expected in October 2024 [12]