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海天味业(603288):2025年业绩稳健增长,盈利能力持续改善
Ping An Securities· 2026-03-29 09:28
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the company [1][9]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 28.873 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.32%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 7.038 billion yuan, up 10.95% year-on-year, and the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 6.845 billion yuan, increasing by 12.81% year-on-year. A cash dividend of 8 yuan per 10 shares (including tax) is proposed for all shareholders [4][9]. - The company's gross margin improved to 40.22% in 2025, an increase of 3.22 percentage points year-on-year. The net profit margin reached 24.40%, up 0.77 percentage points year-on-year, indicating continuous improvement in profitability [8]. - The company has established a robust product matrix with seven product series generating over 1 billion yuan in revenue and over 30 series generating over 100 million yuan. Key product categories include soy sauce, oyster sauce, and seasoning sauces, which have shown stable growth [8]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue and Profit Forecasts: - Revenue is projected to grow to 31.218 billion yuan in 2026, 33.762 billion yuan in 2027, and 36.500 billion yuan in 2028, with year-on-year growth rates of 8.1%, 8.2%, and 8.1% respectively [6][11]. - Net profit is expected to reach 7.833 billion yuan in 2026, 8.634 billion yuan in 2027, and 9.459 billion yuan in 2028, with corresponding growth rates of 11.3%, 10.2%, and 9.6% [6][11]. - Profitability Ratios: - The gross margin is expected to improve to 41.8% in 2026, 42.7% in 2027, and 43.5% in 2028. The net profit margin is projected to be 25.1% in 2026, 25.6% in 2027, and 25.9% in 2028 [11]. - Valuation Metrics: - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is forecasted to be approximately 29.7 in 2026, 26.9 in 2027, and 24.6 in 2028 [9][11]. Market and Channel Insights - The offline channel generated revenue of 25.760 billion yuan in 2025, growing by 7.85% year-on-year, while the online channel achieved revenue of 1.639 billion yuan, up 31.87% year-on-year. The company is expanding its market presence through digital marketing and innovative service models [8]. - The company has over 6,000 distributors and covers approximately 3 million terminal points, with a coverage rate of about 100% in prefecture-level cities and over 90% in county-level cities [8].