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帮主郑重:极米科技暴跌80%背后的真相!75%利润靠补贴能走多远?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-07 07:39
Core Insights - The core issue with XGIMI Technology is its heavy reliance on government subsidies, which significantly inflate its reported profits, raising concerns about its true profitability and sustainability [1][3][4] Group 1: Subsidy Dependency - XGIMI Technology's dependence on government subsidies is alarming, with 93% of its net profit in 2023 coming from subsidies, and projections for 2024 indicating 73% reliance [3] - Over the past two and a half years, more than 75% of XGIMI's net profit has been derived from government subsidies, highlighting a troubling trend [1][3] Group 2: Financial Anomalies - The financial situation of XGIMI's subsidiary, Yibin XGIMI, is perplexing, as it reported revenue of 19.19 billion, exceeding the parent company's revenue of 16.26 billion, yet its cumulative net profit from 2020 to mid-2025 was only about 4 million [5] - This discrepancy may stem from internal low-price sales and cost-sharing practices between the parent and subsidiary, raising red flags about financial transparency [5] Group 3: Industry Challenges - The smart projector industry is facing significant challenges, with a 6.2% decline in shipment volume and a 25.6% drop in sales revenue in 2023, leading to intense competition and price wars [7] - XGIMI is also grappling with high inventory levels, with stock reaching 1.098 billion, accounting for nearly 20% of total assets, and an inventory turnover period exceeding 160 days, which is notably high for the industry [7] Group 4: Shareholder Sentiment - Major shareholders, including Baidu, have been reducing their stakes in XGIMI, with Baidu's ownership dropping from 11.61% to 5.04% since 2022, reflecting a lack of confidence in the company's future prospects [8]