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BTC重挫!看跌吞沒?巨量追多,除非清掉,否則難漲!ETH接棒上漲?
提阿非羅大人TiaBTC· 2025-07-15 18:21
Market Analysis - Bitcoin's daily chart shows a less-than-ideal close followed by a continued downward trend, cautioning against chasing highs at $120,000 due to potential pullbacks [1] - High trading volume during pullbacks, rather than a healthy reduction in volume, suggests significant selling pressure [1] - A large trading volume accompanying a failed breakout from a consolidation zone indicates potential large-scale selling [1] - Negative funding rates on Bybit Bitcoin USD perpetual contracts often signal a relative low point, while high funding rates suggest over-eagerness to chase highs, potentially leading to corrections [1] - The analyst is closely monitoring a specific level for a potential dip below followed by a quick recovery, which could present a long opportunity; failure to recover would raise concerns about market structure [1] Trading Strategy - The analyst suggests that a drop below a key low point, followed by a swift recovery, could be a buying opportunity, indicating a continuation of the upward trend [2] - The analyst is wary of shorting Bitcoin unless a clear breakdown and confirmation occur, preferring to wait for a confirmed bearish signal before taking a short position [2] - The analyst notes that many traders are currently shorting Bitcoin, and suggests that a break below a significant low could trigger more short selling, presenting an opportunity to take a contrarian long position [2] Altcoin Analysis - Ethereum appears slightly stronger than Bitcoin, with decent trading volume, but the analyst cautions that Ethereum outperforming Bitcoin while Bitcoin struggles is a potentially dangerous sign [2] - The analyst suggests that if Ethereum continues to rise, some altcoins may experience a rally, but the analyst is closely monitoring Bitcoin's ability to continue its upward trend [2]
比特幣12萬!忍不住追高?小心回調!BTC、ETH多空機會!
提阿非羅大人TiaBTC· 2025-07-14 18:49
Market Analysis & Bitcoin (BTC) - The analyst notes Bitcoin's (BTC) price surge, breaking the $100,000 - $110,000 resistance level, suggesting a potential support zone at that range if the market adapts to the $120,000 level [1] - Concerns arise regarding the lack of volume supporting the breakout, potentially leading to a MACD divergence on the weekly chart [1] - The analyst points out the high funding rates on Bybit's BTC perpetual contracts, indicating a crowded long position, which historically precedes corrections or consolidation [1][2] - The analyst suggests potential buying opportunities when funding rates are negative or when there is strong negative sentiment [1] Trading Strategy & Risk Management - The analyst expresses reluctance to chase the rally without a clear entry point, citing concerns about a potential "volume-less" surge [1] - The analyst anticipates a consolidation phase for Bitcoin (BTC), potentially testing lower support levels, and identifies a possible pullback target [1] - The analyst suggests that a break below the previous high point of 2878.54% on the Ethereum (ETH) chart would trigger a short position [2] - The analyst emphasizes the importance of monitoring order book data on Bybit's BTC perpetual contracts to identify potential bearish divergences [2] Ethereum (ETH) Analysis - Ethereum (ETH) has touched the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level, and its ability to hold above the previous high is crucial for further upside [2] - The analyst notes a successful sweep of lows on Ethereum (ETH) during the weekend, creating a potential long opportunity [2]
BTC歷史新高!有人恐高,有人追高,我計劃這樣!ETH和山寨跟漲!
提阿非羅大人TiaBTC· 2025-07-11 18:21
Market Analysis - Bitcoin's weekly chart suggests a strong bullish trend, potentially forming a continuation head and shoulders pattern, currently testing the neckline [1] - The analyst notes a VCP (Volatility Contraction Pattern) formation in Bitcoin, characterized by decreasing downward回调幅度 and shrinking成交量, indicating potential upward breakout [1] - Ethereum shows an AMD pattern (likely referring to a specific technical analysis pattern), with a three-stage upward expectation, currently approaching the 0.06% level [2] - Trump Coin (川普币) is showing a potential shift from a downtrend to an uptrend, but its stability is questionable due to its reliance on the former president's actions [2] Trading Strategy - The analyst suggests holding long positions if already in profit, and waiting for consolidation and potential stop-loss hunting before re-entering [1] - For Ethereum, the analyst advises against shorting unless it falls back below a certain level, suggesting a potential 5:1 or 4:1 profit-loss ratio for short positions if the pattern fails [2] - The analyst suggests caution due to high funding rates, indicating a potential pullback before further upward movement [2] Risk Management - The analyst emphasizes the importance of clear stop-loss levels, particularly for Ethereum trades [2] - The analyst advises against chasing the price at current levels, suggesting potential consolidation and better entry opportunities later [1][2] - The analyst suggests that if Bitcoin falls below a certain level without a quick rebound, it would be prudent to exit the position [2]
這反彈,一眨眼就十萬八千!BTC莫非還有新高?目標位是?
提阿非羅大人TiaBTC· 2025-06-09 18:44
朋友們大家好,大家早上中午晚上好 這裡是提阿非羅 現在是2025年6月9日華爾街午盤時間 我們來更新比特幣的行情 這個是比特幣的周線圖 從周線級別來看 我們發現過去這一周的周線 是非常的強勢 你可以看到它是一根十字線 好像要來救贖一下子的感覺 那麼它是把前面的低點跌破 來補充了這一帶的缺口 你會說這個缺口還有很多沒有補充完 但是我想告訴你的是 它補缺口不是它的目的 目的是把這一段追多的人 把他們的止損打掉 那麼想一下這邊有一些追多的 但是不是那麼的多 但是突破之前ALL TIME HIGH之後 在這個地方是有很多人做多的 因為大家是去做什麼 突破單對不對 往下面跌的話他的止損最低 我是認為會放在這個地方 他不可能把止損放在這裡 也不可能放在這裡,因為離得太遠了 對不對 標志性的低點就是前面這樣的一個低點 它往下面跌 把前面的低點跌破 把這樣的一些多頭的止損打掉就可以了 未必需要完全把這一帶完全補足 沒有這個必要對不對 然後就出現一個反彈 但是我從這邊看成交量好像略顯不足 感覺好像是有點強勢 但是好像中性偏強勢好不好 如果說是中性偏強勢的話 有哪樣的可能性呢 如果說是非常多的成交量往下面一跌 就非常大的成交量 ...