朋友們大家好，大家早上中午晚上好 這裡是提阿非羅 現在是美國西部時間 2026年的1月13日 同時也是東八區時間 1月14日好吧 現在我們來看一下比特幣的行情 這個是比特幣的日線圖，從日線級別來看 我們發現比特幣好像原先 來到下面的時候成交量 你可以看一下非常的小 然後這邊有一點點的反彈 但是你可以看到陽線比以往 好像要爭氣一點 你可以看原先在下面非常小 那麼這好像是一度 來到了中間的這條線 那麼中間這條線 實際上就是一個平均線 你自己都可以去設定一下 那麼這個是過去50天的一個平均線 那麼它來到這邊表明著說 好像成交量是略微有一點大 還算是可以，而且我們最留意的一個指標 就是bybit比特幣USD 幣本位的資金費率 那麼原先每一次要出現 比較像樣的反彈 你要看到這種資金費率為負的情況 然後今天又是一個為負的情況 這個是一個比較好的狀態 那麼如果說盤整一段時間 沒有出現這種密集的資金費率為負的情況 我可能就會比較的猶豫 但是如果出現了這種情況 我就仍然是維持我的這樣的一個預期 也就是說你可以看到 它來到前面這一帶受到了阻礙 我會覺得它有可能往下面測試 前面這一帶的高點 然後在這邊盤整 然後一旦往上面突破的話 ...

朋友們大家好，大家早上中午晚上好，這裡是提阿非羅 現在是美國西部時間 2026年的1月12日 同時也是東八區時間1月13日 那麼今天是華爾街時間的周一 我們來給大家更新比特幣的行情 這個是比特幣的周線圖，從周線級別來看 我們發現上周的周線 是一根比較短小的k線 而且仍然是在盤整區間內 我們可以看到的是 過去這段時間的下跌 形成了一個下降趨勢線 這樣一個下降趨勢線突破之後 來到前高附近受到了一點阻礙 目前沒有站上去 所以這個反彈還沒有走的比較的迅猛 這個是周線級別讓我們看到的 目前來說確實還沒有比較大的波動 只能夠看到更小的時間級別 這個是日線級別 我們可以看一下日線來說 它是來到了前面的這一帶受到了一些阻礙 然後重新跌回來 但是原先我是覺得 這一帶會有一定的支撐 所以目前測試測試仍然是沒有跌破 那麼我上周的時候 畫了一個可能性的圖是什麼樣子的 也就是說來到這邊之前 它有可能去做這種 波幅不斷收小的一個 我們看一看有沒有可能是這個樣子 然後不斷的收小 然後再往上面突破的呢 確實有這樣的可能性 所以說如果說在這邊盤整有兩個情況 我們可以關注一下 首先就是這邊的bybit 比特幣USD幣本位的資金費率 如果說在這邊 ...

朋友們大家好，大家早上中午晚上好 這裡是提阿非羅 現在是美國西部時間 2026年的1月5日 同時也是東八區時間 2026年的1月6日 那麼這個就是2026年新年的 第一期行情更新 之前一段時間是聖誕節和新年的假期 所以有一段時間的休息 那麼現在我們要回到盤面 給大家帶來新一期的行情更新好吧 我們快速的來到盤面 這個是比特幣的周線圖 從周線級別來看 我們發現比特幣仍然是在這個區間內盤整 那麼上周的k線是一根小小的陽線 那麼雖然是一個小小的陽線 但是在過去的1個2個 3個4個5個禮拜之中 它都是非常短小的k線 那麼這一段時間 可以說是比特幣在休假的一個狀態 然後上周的k線還是比較的大 那麼如果說你用小級別來看的話 它有可能會突破下面這樣的一個三角形 然後慢慢往上漲 但是如果說看一下成交量的話 目前來說好像是一個不斷縮減的跡象 那麼這個和我的判斷是比較一致的 我會認為行情已經下跌了比較的多 然後在這邊盤整一段時間 可能會往上面反彈 到底是反彈還是反轉呢 也就是說到底是反彈一段時間 然後再繼續往下跌 還是說直接這邊反轉 然後創出新高 我的判斷可能是認為 這邊有可能會出現一個反彈 反彈到一定的地方可能仍然會受到阻礙 那 ...

Market Analysis - Bitcoin is currently consolidating within a narrow range, with potential for a breakout near the descending trendline [1] - The analyst suggests that 90% of Bitcoin's price action consists of slow consolidation, gradual increases, or gradual decreases, with only 10% characterized by rapid surges or declines [1] - The analyst notes that the funding rate on Bybit for Bitcoin USD coin-margined contracts has increased during the consolidation period, which may not be a positive sign [1] - A potential strategy involves waiting for a dip in the funding rate, possibly triggered by a drop below previous low points, before considering a long position upon a breakout [1] - Short-term trading opportunities exist within the hourly chart, involving shorting at parallel highs and longing after a breakdown and recovery [1] Trading Strategy - The analyst suggests short-term trading strategies involving shorting at parallel highs and longing after a breakdown and recovery, but cautions against holding positions for extended periods [1] - The analyst is waiting for a breakout of the descending trendline to consider a more sustained long position [1] - The analyst anticipates that a weekend breakout could lead to an interesting week ahead for Bitcoin [1]

Market Analysis - Bitcoin's price movement is currently experiencing low volatility due to the US Thanksgiving holiday, characterized by small trading volumes [1] - The analyst believes Bitcoin is still in an upward rebound phase, potentially reaching higher levels [1] - The funding rate is negative, which is considered a positive sign during this rebound [1] Technical Analysis - A potential AMD pattern (Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution) is identified in a smaller timeframe, suggesting a possible consolidation phase followed by a move upwards to fill a gap, and then a downward trend [1] - The analysis suggests a scenario where Bitcoin might test previous highs, trigger stop-loss orders of short positions, and then decline [1] - The analyst will closely monitor for consolidation in smaller timeframes, followed by a test of the upper resistance levels [1] Trading Strategy - The analyst expresses a preference for increased market volatility as they return to work after a holiday, seeking clearer trading opportunities [1]

Market Analysis - The cryptocurrency market is currently experiencing a downtrend, with Bitcoin showing predominantly negative price action on the daily chart [1] - Bybit's Bitcoin USD perpetual funding rates are high, historically indicating limited potential for a significant upward reversal [1] - A substantial market rebound is not anticipated unless a period of intensely negative funding rates occurs, potentially signaling a short-term or medium-term buying opportunity [1] - From a weekly perspective, Bitcoin's price movement suggests a longer-term downward trajectory, potentially extending to lower price levels [1] - The analysis suggests that the current price action may represent the initial phase of a multi-wave downward correction [1] Trading Strategy - Short-term long positions should only be considered if smaller timeframe market structures shift favorably, accompanied by a pullback [1] - Scalping long positions are the only viable option for short-term trades in the absence of a broader market structure shift [1] - A potential support level exists at a lower price point, but a period of consolidation and market structure change is necessary before considering long positions [1] - A false breakout followed by a decline at a key resistance level could present an opportunity to add to short positions [1] Risk Assessment - Altcoins are likely to continue declining towards zero, emphasizing the importance of focusing on Bitcoin [1] - The U S stock market may be facing challenges, potentially exacerbating the downward pressure on Bitcoin [1]

Market Analysis - Bitcoin's daily chart shows a less-than-ideal close followed by a continued downward trend, cautioning against chasing highs at $120,000 due to potential pullbacks [1] - High trading volume during pullbacks, rather than a healthy reduction in volume, suggests significant selling pressure [1] - A large trading volume accompanying a failed breakout from a consolidation zone indicates potential large-scale selling [1] - Negative funding rates on Bybit Bitcoin USD perpetual contracts often signal a relative low point, while high funding rates suggest over-eagerness to chase highs, potentially leading to corrections [1] - The analyst is closely monitoring a specific level for a potential dip below followed by a quick recovery, which could present a long opportunity; failure to recover would raise concerns about market structure [1] Trading Strategy - The analyst suggests that a drop below a key low point, followed by a swift recovery, could be a buying opportunity, indicating a continuation of the upward trend [2] - The analyst is wary of shorting Bitcoin unless a clear breakdown and confirmation occur, preferring to wait for a confirmed bearish signal before taking a short position [2] - The analyst notes that many traders are currently shorting Bitcoin, and suggests that a break below a significant low could trigger more short selling, presenting an opportunity to take a contrarian long position [2] Altcoin Analysis - Ethereum appears slightly stronger than Bitcoin, with decent trading volume, but the analyst cautions that Ethereum outperforming Bitcoin while Bitcoin struggles is a potentially dangerous sign [2] - The analyst suggests that if Ethereum continues to rise, some altcoins may experience a rally, but the analyst is closely monitoring Bitcoin's ability to continue its upward trend [2]

Market Analysis & Bitcoin (BTC) - The analyst notes Bitcoin's (BTC) price surge, breaking the $100,000 - $110,000 resistance level, suggesting a potential support zone at that range if the market adapts to the $120,000 level [1] - Concerns arise regarding the lack of volume supporting the breakout, potentially leading to a MACD divergence on the weekly chart [1] - The analyst points out the high funding rates on Bybit's BTC perpetual contracts, indicating a crowded long position, which historically precedes corrections or consolidation [1][2] - The analyst suggests potential buying opportunities when funding rates are negative or when there is strong negative sentiment [1] Trading Strategy & Risk Management - The analyst expresses reluctance to chase the rally without a clear entry point, citing concerns about a potential "volume-less" surge [1] - The analyst anticipates a consolidation phase for Bitcoin (BTC), potentially testing lower support levels, and identifies a possible pullback target [1] - The analyst suggests that a break below the previous high point of 2878.54% on the Ethereum (ETH) chart would trigger a short position [2] - The analyst emphasizes the importance of monitoring order book data on Bybit's BTC perpetual contracts to identify potential bearish divergences [2] Ethereum (ETH) Analysis - Ethereum (ETH) has touched the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level, and its ability to hold above the previous high is crucial for further upside [2] - The analyst notes a successful sweep of lows on Ethereum (ETH) during the weekend, creating a potential long opportunity [2]

Market Analysis - Bitcoin's weekly chart suggests a strong bullish trend, potentially forming a continuation head and shoulders pattern, currently testing the neckline [1] - The analyst notes a VCP (Volatility Contraction Pattern) formation in Bitcoin, characterized by decreasing downward回调幅度 and shrinking成交量, indicating potential upward breakout [1] - Ethereum shows an AMD pattern (likely referring to a specific technical analysis pattern), with a three-stage upward expectation, currently approaching the 0.06% level [2] - Trump Coin (川普币) is showing a potential shift from a downtrend to an uptrend, but its stability is questionable due to its reliance on the former president's actions [2] Trading Strategy - The analyst suggests holding long positions if already in profit, and waiting for consolidation and potential stop-loss hunting before re-entering [1] - For Ethereum, the analyst advises against shorting unless it falls back below a certain level, suggesting a potential 5:1 or 4:1 profit-loss ratio for short positions if the pattern fails [2] - The analyst suggests caution due to high funding rates, indicating a potential pullback before further upward movement [2] Risk Management - The analyst emphasizes the importance of clear stop-loss levels, particularly for Ethereum trades [2] - The analyst advises against chasing the price at current levels, suggesting potential consolidation and better entry opportunities later [1][2] - The analyst suggests that if Bitcoin falls below a certain level without a quick rebound, it would be prudent to exit the position [2]

Market Analysis - Bitcoin's weekly chart shows a strong bullish signal after breaking previous lows to fill gaps, primarily aiming to liquidate leveraged positions [1] - The analysis suggests a potential ABC three-wave pattern with a C-wave target around $110,000 (11万) or even retesting the all-time high, contingent on the strength of the A-wave and funding rates [1] - Ethereum's (以太) price action is currently lagging behind Bitcoin, suggesting it's being driven more by Bitcoin's momentum than its own intrinsic strength [2] Trading Strategy - The analyst advises against shorting Bitcoin when the funding rate is negative, as this often precedes further upward movement [1] - The analyst suggests considering long positions on Bitcoin during pullbacks, especially near the daily chart's support levels, potentially around the 618% or 66% Fibonacci retracement levels [2] - The analyst suggests caution if Bitcoin quickly approaches and breaks the all-time high with high volume, indicating a potential fakeout and subsequent correction [2] Risk Assessment - The analyst expresses concern about a potential fake breakout at the all-time high, especially if accompanied by high trading volume, which could lead to a significant pullback [2] - The analyst notes that Ethereum (以太) may not be a strong buy currently due to its underperformance compared to Bitcoin and its dependence on Bitcoin's price action [2]