货币政策与金价关系

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8月26日最新!伦敦金实时行情震荡拉升,其背后的原因是?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-26 16:49
Core Viewpoint - The significant rise in London gold prices is driven by a combination of dovish monetary policy from the Federal Reserve and escalating geopolitical risks, leading to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [3]. Group 1: Price Movement and Market Data - As of August 25, 2025, London gold closed at $3369.82 per ounce, up $31.57 or 0.95% from the previous trading day, with an intraday high of $3378.68 and a low of $3321.33 [1]. - The increase in gold prices was particularly pronounced during the European trading session following comments from Fed Chair Powell, with significant buy orders accumulating around the $3320 per ounce level, providing short-term support [1]. - The COMEX gold futures non-commercial net long positions increased by 8600 contracts compared to the previous week, indicating a growing bullish sentiment among institutions [1]. Group 2: Driving Factors Behind Price Increase - The dovish stance of the Federal Reserve, highlighted by Powell's remarks on increasing risks in the labor market, has raised the probability of a rate cut in September from 75% to 85%, which lowers the opportunity cost of holding gold [3]. - Ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly the Russia-Ukraine conflict and instability in the Middle East, have heightened global risk aversion, further supporting gold prices [3]. - The World Gold Council's report indicates that during periods of geopolitical tension, gold ETF holdings typically increase, reinforcing gold's status as a safe-haven asset [3]. Group 3: Technical Analysis - The recent price surge in London gold shows clear bullish signals, with daily charts indicating consecutive positive closes and a strong upward trend [4]. - Key resistance is identified at $3370 per ounce, with a potential breakout leading to a target of $3400 [4]. - The 14-day RSI is nearing overbought territory, suggesting potential profit-taking pressure, and a close below $3360 could disrupt the current bullish structure [4]. Group 4: Trading Environment and Platform Selection - In a volatile market, choosing a regulated trading platform is crucial for ensuring a stable trading experience and safeguarding funds [5]. - Gold trading platforms like Jinseng Precious Metals, a member of the Hong Kong Gold Exchange, provide reliable trading environments and transparency through transaction coding [5]. - Client funds are kept separate from operational funds in licensed banks, enhancing security and distinguishing regulated platforms from unlicensed ones [5].