Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley anticipates the upcoming policy report on September 17 may include measures such as easing new capital investor entry plans, adjusting residential property stamp duties, and establishing home purchase funding plans, but expresses skepticism about the simultaneous implementation of all measures [1] Group 1: Market Outlook - The real estate market in Hong Kong shows signs of stabilization, but if the policies announced are weaker than expected, there may be short-term profit-taking in real estate stocks following the policy report [1] - Historically, if the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts align with market expectations, Hong Kong real estate stocks tend to underperform the broader market [1] Group 2: Investment Recommendations - Morgan Stanley maintains a positive outlook for the local real estate sector over the next year, suggesting investors take advantage of lower prices [1] - Among developers, the company is particularly optimistic about Henderson Land Development (00012) and Sino Land Company (00083) [1] - For rental stocks, it recommends Swire Properties (01792) and Link Real Estate Investment Trust (00823) for investors with lower risk tolerance, while also noting that Hang Lung Properties (00101) and Wharf Real Estate Investment Company (01997) have significant upside potential [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the upcoming policy report on September 17 may introduce measures to ease capital investor entry, stamp duty on residential properties, and establish a home purchase fund plan, but there are doubts about the extent of these measures [1] - Morgan Stanley expresses skepticism about whether all measures will be introduced at once, noting that the property market shows signs of stabilization, and if the policies are weaker than expected, there may be short-term profit-taking in real estate stocks after the report is released [1] - The day after the policy report, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision, and historically, if a rate cut meets expectations, Hong Kong real estate stocks tend to underperform the market [1] Group 2 - Despite the short-term concerns, Morgan Stanley maintains a positive outlook on the local real estate sector for the next year, suggesting investors take advantage of lower prices [1] - Among developers, Morgan Stanley is more optimistic about Henderson Land Development (00012) and Sino Land Company (00083) [1] - For rental stocks, it recommends Swire Properties (01792) and Link Real Estate Investment Trust (00823) for investors with lower risk appetite, while also noting that Hang Lung Properties (00101) and Wharf Real Estate Investment Company (01997) have significant upside potential [1]