Core Viewpoint - Fitch Ratings has downgraded the outlook for approximately one-quarter of U.S. industries to "deteriorating," citing increased uncertainty and risks of economic slowdown in the U.S. [1][3] Trade and Tariff Policies - The uncertainty surrounding the trade and tariff policies of the Trump administration is a primary reason for Fitch's warning [2][4][5] - The U.S. is facing complex trade negotiations with the EU and India, with significant variables affecting outcomes [2][11] - The EU has approved counter-tariffs on U.S. products worth €93 billion, indicating a strong response to U.S. trade policies [2][17] Economic Projections - Despite a slight increase in the GDP growth forecast for 2025 from 1.2% to 1.5%, Fitch expects the momentum of U.S. GDP growth to slow down within the year [7][10] - The U.S. government deficit is projected to remain above 7% of GDP, with the debt-to-GDP ratio expected to rise to 135% by 2029 due to recent tax and spending legislation [6][8] Impact on Consumers and Inequality - The "Big and Beautiful" Act is anticipated to exacerbate income inequality, with the poorest Americans losing approximately $1,600 annually, while wealthier households could see an increase of $12,000 in average annual income [9]

Core Viewpoint - The Aluminum Association emphasizes the need for consistent and predictable trade and tariff policies to effectively plan investments [1] Group 1 - The Vice President of External Affairs at the Aluminum Association, Matt Meenan, highlights the importance of stable trade policies for the industry [1]