贸易政策转向

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欧美新关税协议能兑现吗?
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao· 2025-07-30 11:31
Group 1 - The agreement between the US and EU involves a 15% tariff on most EU exports to the US, a reduction from the previously threatened 30% [1][3] - The EU is expected to invest $600 billion in the US and purchase $750 billion worth of energy products, which has sparked criticism within the EU [1][3][11] - The agreement is seen as a political victory for Trump, as it reflects a shift in US trade policy and a compromise from the EU under pressure [3][4][7] Group 2 - The 15% tariff is viewed as a challenge for some, but it retains access for the EU to the US market, which is crucial for European economies [4][5] - The impact of the tariff is asymmetric; while it may significantly affect export-oriented industries like the German automotive sector, the overall economic impact on the EU is considered manageable [5] - There are significant internal divisions within the EU regarding the agreement, with some member states expressing dissatisfaction and others accepting it more readily [8][9] Group 3 - The $750 billion energy purchase plan is controversial, as it requires the EU to double its energy imports from the US compared to previous years, raising questions about feasibility [11][12][13] - The energy procurement is complicated by the fact that most energy purchases are handled by private companies, which are driven by market conditions rather than EU directives [13] - Some analysts suggest that the energy procurement could be spread over a longer period, potentially aligning with market realities and easing the burden on EU companies [14]
美联储理事谈及美国“股债汇”下跌:必须审视美国资产潜在吸引力下降的影响
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-05-30 05:20
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the need to reassess the declining attractiveness of U.S. assets and its implications for financial stability both domestically and internationally [1][2] - Recent market trends indicate a noticeable decrease in the safe-haven demand for U.S. assets during periods of stress, raising concerns among investors regarding the handling of U.S. assets [1] - The Federal Reserve's meeting minutes highlighted that the persistent shift in the correlation of U.S. assets and the decline in their safe-haven status could have long-term economic impacts [1] Group 2 - The sharp turn in trade policy is reshaping global supply chains and amplifying corporate financial vulnerabilities, making it increasingly critical to understand the intersection of corporate financial health and international trade exposure [2] - The imposition of tariffs has introduced significant uncertainty, which may suppress economic activity and potentially increase inflation [2]