资负双驱

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新华保险(601336):新单增速强劲,资负双驱、业绩快增
Huachuang Securities· 2025-04-30 08:16
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company with a target price of 56.5 CNY [2][8]. Core Insights - The company achieved a net profit of 5.9 billion CNY in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 19%. The New Business Value (NBV) grew by 67.9% year-on-year, indicating strong new policy growth [2][8]. - The annualized total and comprehensive investment returns were 5.7% and 2.8%, respectively, with a year-on-year change of +1.1 percentage points and -3.9 percentage points [2][8]. - As of the end of Q1 2025, the company's net assets reached 79.8 billion CNY, a decrease of 17% compared to the end of the previous year [2][8]. Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2024 is projected at 132,555 million CNY, with a year-on-year growth rate of 85.3%. However, a decline of 12.4% is expected in 2025 [4]. - The net profit for 2024 is estimated at 26,229 million CNY, with a significant year-on-year growth of 201.1%, but a decline of 24.0% is anticipated for 2025 [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 8.4 CNY in 2024, decreasing to 6.4 CNY in 2025, and gradually increasing to 7.6 CNY by 2027 [4]. Business Development Insights - The company experienced a strong growth in new business, with long-term insurance first-year premiums increasing by 150% year-on-year to 27.2 billion CNY in Q1 2025. The overall premium income from individual insurance channels rose by 12% to 44.6 billion CNY [2][8]. - The individual insurance channel's new business value rate has declined, which may be influenced by the structure of payment periods and product pricing strategies [2][8]. - The company’s investment assets totaled 1.69 trillion CNY as of Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.6% [2][8]. Investment Strategy - The report suggests that the company’s performance is driven by both underwriting and investment activities, projecting double-digit growth in earnings. The EPS estimates for 2025-2027 are maintained at 6.4 CNY, 6.9 CNY, and 7.6 CNY, respectively [2][8].