资金端负循环

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回本了!市场逼近3700点,半数“高位基”已解套!
券商中国· 2025-08-17 15:05
Core Viewpoint - The market has returned to around 3700 points, with over 50% of funds established during the last bull market now back to their initial net asset value, indicating a recovery trend after a prolonged downturn [2][4][5]. Fund Performance Summary - As of August 15, 2024, 936 out of 1785 funds established in 2021 have a net asset value above 1, representing 52.44% of the total [5]. - Notable funds that have recovered include the Invesco Great Wall Long-term Fund and the Golden Eagle New Energy Mixed Fund, which have recently seen their net asset values rise above 1 [4][5]. - However, approximately 30 funds from 2021 still have net asset values below 0.5, indicating significant performance disparities among funds established at the same market peak [5][6]. Performance Disparity - Funds established at the same market peak have shown significant performance differences, with some achieving returns over 100% while others have seen declines exceeding 50% [7][8]. - For instance, the Dachen Industry Trend Fund has a return of 88.72%, while the Huatai-PB Biomedicine ETF has a return of -59.77% since their inception [7][8]. Market Dynamics - The market is experiencing a "return to break-even" pressure, particularly in sectors like new energy and pharmaceuticals, which were popular during the previous bull market [10]. - Despite the redemption pressure, new active equity funds are seeing a resurgence in fundraising, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment [10][11]. - The overall market is expected to enter a positive cycle of capital inflow and price increase, driven by a strong demand for high-return assets amid a backdrop of high savings growth [11].