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一口气了解赌球
小Lin说· 2025-12-12 01:00
行业规模与分布 - 2024年全球体育博彩总投注额估计在15,000亿美元到20,000亿美元之间[1] - 足球博彩占全球体育博彩总额的35%-50%,是无可争议的世界第一运动[1] - 亚洲体育博彩市场占据全球市场约2/3,超过10,000亿美元/年,但多数为地下非法交易[1] 体育博彩的经济影响 - 皇家马德里足球俱乐部是唯一一个突破10亿欧元营收大关的俱乐部,24-25赛季营收为118,500万欧元(约合13.7亿美元)[1] - 欧洲五大联赛中,英超总营收约为85亿美元/年[1] - 欧洲所有足球联赛总营收约为450亿美元,而足球相关博彩市场(庄家/平台营收)高达750亿美元,总下注额约为8,000亿美元[1] 体育博彩的风险与问题 - 体育博彩市场容易出现操控比赛(Match Fixing)问题,大庄家可能通过影响比赛走向或获取内幕消息来获取巨额回报[1] - 操控比赛的重灾区包括板球界和一些低级别联赛、友谊赛,如土耳其、匈牙利、希腊联赛[1] - 地下赌球常以信用赌方式进行,庄家承担信用风险,但也更容易吸引赌徒参与,并可能涉及高利贷和暴力催收[6] 博彩方式与盈利模式 - 常见的博彩方式包括固定赔率和合池下注[2] - 博彩公司通过在赔率中加水钱(抽水)来盈利,正规体育博彩的盈利方式是抽取中介费[2] - 庄家通常希望爆冷的球队获胜,因为热门球队的赔率往往被非理性押注抬高[3] - 越复杂、不确定性越高的博彩项目,博彩公司的利润率越高,例如实时盘、串关(Parlay)等,利润率可高达25%-30%[3] 各国/地区对体育博彩的态度 - 英国是全世界最老牌、最成熟的体育博彩市场之一,对体育博彩态度开放,但监管严格[4] - 美国在2018年之前大部分地区禁止体育博彩,之后开始井喷式发展,目前已有超过38个州将体育博彩合法化[4] - 香港体育博彩由香港赛马会(HKJC)独家经营,收入主要回馈香港社会[4] - 中国大陆体育彩票是唯一合法的体育博彩形式,但返奖率较低[5] - 大多数伊斯兰国家全面禁止体育博彩[5] 地下赌球的风险 - 地下赌球容易与高利贷、洗钱等犯罪活动联系在一起[6] - 地下赌球的传播方式包括金字塔模式(层层代理抽水)和伪装成正规博彩网站/APP[6] - 地下赌球庄家可能通过洗钱获取利润,甚至超过博彩本身[6]
台“超级篮球联赛”假球赌博案一审宣判 前年度MVP球员判刑7年
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-11-17 08:23
Core Viewpoint - The Taiwan "Super Basketball League" (SBL) has been embroiled in a match-fixing gambling scandal, leading to severe legal consequences for multiple players and coaches involved in the scheme [1][2]. Group 1: Legal Outcomes - A total of 15 individuals, including players and an assistant coach, received prison sentences ranging from 8 months to 7 years, with the MVP player, Ke Min-Hao, sentenced to 7 years [1][2]. - The Taipei Shilin District Court announced the verdict on November 17, 2023, with other players like Wu Ji-Ying receiving a 2-year prison sentence with a 5-year probation, and Senegalese player Bamba sentenced to 5 years and 2 months, subject to deportation after serving [2]. Group 2: Scandal Details - The scandal involved players intentionally manipulating game outcomes through poor performance, such as deliberate mistakes and outrageous shots, to profit from illegal betting on unregulated websites [1]. - Investigations revealed that the manipulation began in late 2022 during the warm-up matches of the 20th season, with at least 18 out of 39 games being implicated in gambling activities, resulting in illegal earnings exceeding 20 million New Taiwan Dollars [1]. Group 3: Broader Implications - The incident has sparked widespread discussion in Taiwan regarding the underlying issues of match-fixing and gambling in basketball, highlighting that the involvement of players in gambling may only represent the tip of the iceberg in a larger systemic problem [2]. - The Chinese Taipei Basketball Association has imposed severe penalties on the involved players, including cancellation of their registrations and lifetime bans from participation [1].