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中銀嘉賓Niki早前點評:寧徳時代橫盤後有望再發力,看好倉工具部署中銀嘉賓Niki早前點評:寧徳時代橫盤後有望再發力,看好倉工具部署
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-20 10:44
Core Viewpoint - The stock price of CATL (宁德时代) has experienced significant volatility, rising for seven consecutive days to reach a high of 521 HKD, amidst a backdrop of extreme overbought conditions and a positive industry outlook [1]. Technical Analysis - The current RSI for CATL is at 82, indicating severe overbought conditions, with technical indicators suggesting a "strong sell" signal at a high-risk level of 13 [1]. - Key support levels are identified at 461 HKD and 440 HKD, while resistance levels are at 519 HKD and 570 HKD, making these critical points for short-term trading [2]. - The moving average system shows a bullish arrangement, with MA10 at 453.07 HKD, MA30 at 427.58 HKD, and MA60 at 408.66 HKD, but there is a notable divergence from the current stock price, increasing the likelihood of a technical adjustment [2]. Derivative Market Performance - CATL-related derivatives have shown high volatility, with significant returns observed; for instance, HSBC's call option surged by 41% and Bank of China's call option rose by 42% following a 5.87% increase in the underlying stock [4]. - Investors are encouraged to consider various call options with different strike prices and leverage, such as UBS's call option with a strike price of 569.38 HKD and a leverage of 7 times [7]. Market Sentiment - Despite the overbought conditions, there remains a positive sentiment towards CATL's long-term prospects, with investors looking for opportunities to enter during potential pullbacks [1][10]. - The discussion around the lithium battery sector indicates a shift towards healthier market dynamics, reducing competitive pressures [1].