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中国中车(601766):动车组增长亮眼,各板块均向好
HTSC· 2025-08-25 06:52
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [7] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and net profit for H1 2025, with revenue reaching 1197.58 billion RMB (up 32.99% YoY) and net profit at 72.46 billion RMB (up 72.48% YoY) [1][2] - The railway equipment business is expected to maintain steady growth, benefiting from the high demand for new train sets and advanced repairs in the rail transit equipment industry [1][4] - The company has shown strong cost control measures, resulting in a decrease in expense ratios and improved profitability [2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved a gross margin of 21.81% (up 0.41 percentage points YoY) and a net margin of 7.45% (up 1.33 percentage points YoY) [2] - The company’s various business segments, including railway equipment and urban rail infrastructure, all reported revenue growth, with railway equipment revenue increasing by 42.21% YoY [3] Business Segments - Revenue from railway equipment, urban rail and city infrastructure, new industries, and modern services reached 597.06 billion, 174.02 billion, 407.33 billion, and 19.17 billion RMB respectively, reflecting growth rates of 42.21%, 6.27%, 35.59%, and 16.39% [3] - The company secured new orders worth approximately 1460 billion RMB in H1 2025, with overseas orders contributing about 309 billion RMB [3] Market Outlook - The recent tender for high-speed trains exceeded market expectations, indicating a robust outlook for the rail transit equipment sector [4] - The cumulative production of high-speed trains from January to July 2025 reached 1074 units, marking a 40.40% increase YoY [4] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2025-2027 has been revised upwards to 0.51, 0.53, and 0.57 RMB respectively [5] - The target price for the company's A/H shares is set at 11.22 RMB and 7.42 HKD, with a corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 22 and 13.2 times [5]