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清北扎堆,行业离崩盘不远了…
商业洞察· 2025-09-16 09:24
Core Viewpoint - The influx of graduates from top universities like Tsinghua and Peking University into an industry often signals that the industry is nearing its peak and may soon decline [4][6][10]. Group 1: Industry Trends - Historical patterns show that industries with high concentrations of top university graduates tend to experience a decline shortly after, with a specific observation that when such graduates enter an industry, it typically has about eight months left of its golden period [7]. - The article highlights that industries such as foreign enterprises, finance, and education have seen significant downturns after periods of high recruitment from elite universities, indicating a correlation between elite talent influx and industry saturation [6][10]. - The tech industry, particularly large internet companies, is noted to have attracted many graduates, but the reality is that many top computer science graduates from elite universities are opting to work abroad, particularly in Silicon Valley, due to higher income opportunities [10]. Group 2: Employment Challenges - During economic downturns, graduates from prestigious universities face greater challenges in securing successful careers, often being forced into lower-quality jobs or positions that do not align with their qualifications, which can hinder their long-term career growth [13][19]. - The phenomenon of "career path lock-in" is discussed, where early career choices made during economic crises can limit future opportunities and skill development for graduates [13]. - The article suggests that elite graduates often feel pressured to pursue traditional, stable career paths, such as government positions, rather than taking risks on entrepreneurship or innovation, leading to a stagnation in certain industries [11][19].
清北扎堆,行业离崩盘不远了…
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-13 14:02
Core Insights - The influx of graduates from top universities like Tsinghua and Peking University into an industry often signals that the industry is nearing its peak and may soon decline [2][4][5] - The trend of top graduates gravitating towards established, high-paying jobs reflects a risk-averse mentality, which can stifle innovation and entrepreneurship in emerging sectors [4][6][14] Group 1: Industry Trends - The presence of elite graduates in an industry typically indicates that the industry is approaching saturation, as fewer opportunities for growth remain [4] - In the education sector, for instance, the hiring of numerous top graduates has not translated into long-term success, with reports of salary reductions and job instability [3][5] - The current economic downturn has made it increasingly difficult for graduates from prestigious universities to find success, as they often end up in lower-quality jobs or non-related fields [6][8] Group 2: Graduate Behavior and Choices - Graduates from top universities tend to prioritize job security and high salaries, often avoiding riskier career paths that could lead to innovation [4][5][14] - The phenomenon of "career path lock-in" suggests that early career choices made during economic downturns can limit future opportunities and skill development [7][8] - The competitive environment in elite educational institutions can create a mindset where students feel compelled to continuously strive for excellence, potentially leading to burnout and limited career exploration [10][11]