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Gemini3.0预热关注谷歌链,看好国产通信接口IP赛道
Shanxi Securities· 2025-11-19 23:30
Group 1 - The report highlights the anticipated launch of Google's Gemini 3.0, which is expected to catalyze sentiment around AI computing power. The performance improvements observed during testing indicate significant advancements in commercializing large models [2][13]. - Gemini 3.0 has demonstrated impressive capabilities in various fields such as web front-end design, operating system UI simulation, and music creation, showcasing a hundredfold increase in monthly token processing from 9.7 trillion to over 1,000 trillion [3][13]. - The deployment of TPUv7 in 2026 is projected to significantly boost demand for high-end infrastructure components like PCB and optical modules, driven by the performance enhancements of the latest TPU generation [3][13]. Group 2 - The report discusses the acquisition of Kuixin Technology by Heshun Petroleum, which aims to control 51% of the company. Kuixin is positioned as a leading player in the domestic communication interface IP market, with projected revenues of 193 million and 110 million yuan for 2024 and the first half of 2025, respectively [4][14]. - Kuixin Technology's product offerings include various protocol interface IPs, and it is one of the few companies providing complete chiplet solutions in China. The acquisition is expected to ignite investment sentiment in the domestic communication interface IP sector [4][14]. - The global interface IP market is projected to reach $2.37 billion in 2024, with a 28% share of the overall IP market, benefiting from the growth in AI computing power [4][14]. Group 3 - The report identifies several key trends in the domestic AI chip market, including the shift towards chiplet architectures to manage heat and yield issues, and the importance of UCIe as the primary communication protocol for chiplets [5][15]. - The decoupling of domestic HBM particles from imported HBM IP is highlighted as a strategy to enhance performance and reduce manufacturing costs, facilitating the independent packaging of HBM modules [6][16]. - The report emphasizes the necessity of communication interface IP as a foundational technology for the growth of domestic AI chips, with significant market opportunities arising from increased chip shipments and domestic substitution rates [17]. Group 4 - The overall market performance for the week of November 10-14, 2025, showed declines across major indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.18% and the Shenwan Communication Index down 4.77% [8][18]. - Among the sectors, liquid cooling and operators showed slight gains, while several individual stocks experienced significant fluctuations, with Cambridge Technology and Beishida gaining while New Yisheng and Yuanjie Technology faced notable declines [8][32].