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全球Agent产业化竞速
CAITONG SECURITIES· 2025-10-12 06:42
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the industry [2] Core Insights - The global large model Agent capability is accelerating its industrialization, shifting from a focus on parameter scale competition to embedding Agent capabilities into systems and core entry points [7][10] - The transformation of large models is evolving from "single language interaction" to "multi-modal perception," enabling them to "see and do" while being controllable and manageable throughout the entire process [10] - Domestic companies are collaborating around a "model-entry-computing power" framework, establishing a triangular industrial structure that is gradually closing the loop from "model → platform → entry/scenario → supply side" [7][10] Summary by Sections Global Large Model Agent Capability Industrialization - Since September 2025, the focus has shifted from "parameter scale competition" to "Agent capability embedding," with significant advancements in commercial viability from companies like OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google [10] - OpenAI's Sora 2 model and app have entered a commercial operational phase, integrating video generation technology with compliance management [12] - Anthropic's Claude Sonnet 4.5 model enhances engineering capabilities for long-term tasks and tool operations, focusing on production environment usability [13] - Google has integrated Gemini into Chrome, enabling high-frequency scenarios and expanding capabilities from answering to executing tasks [18] Content, Agent, and Entry Advancement: Paths of Overseas Leading Companies - Overseas companies are using product forms and system interfaces to support Agents, transitioning from "can speak and answer" to "can see and do" [22] - The focus is on thickening entry points (browsers/home) and toolchains (SDK/testing/security) to facilitate the transition from technical demonstrations to industrialization [22] Model-Entry-Computing Power Convergence: The Chinese Path - Alibaba's Qwen3-Max flagship model leads the "model-platform-entry" upgrade, establishing a comprehensive path from foundational models to enterprise tools and creative entry points [23] - Tencent's Agent Development Platform 3.0 and mixed models have shown significant advancements, with a focus on efficiency and global expansion [28] - Baidu's Wenxin model X1.1 has improved performance metrics significantly, enhancing its capabilities in complex writing and long-term tasks [30] Domestic and International AI Upgrade Resonance - The AI industry is entering a critical phase of large-scale implementation, with future competition focusing on the construction of an "engineering triangle" system [47] - The core differences between domestic and international developments lie in the pace and financial structure, with international firms accelerating exploration but facing higher risks [56]