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讨论物价别跑偏!权威专家详解“通货膨胀是货币现象”适用边界
第一财经· 2025-07-15 08:41
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current inflation dynamics in China, emphasizing that inflation is primarily driven by demand factors rather than merely being a monetary phenomenon, as traditionally posited [1][2]. Group 1: Inflation Dynamics - The assertion that "inflation is a monetary phenomenon" is based on the premise that money supply growth must exceed output growth for inflation to occur, which is not the case in China's current economic context where supply exceeds demand [1]. - Experts indicate that the historical context of this assertion stems from the 1960s-70s when developed economies faced labor and energy shortages, leading to demand expansion and subsequent price increases [1]. Group 2: Policy Measures - The Chinese government is focusing on expanding domestic demand and addressing internal competition issues to facilitate economic circulation and promote reasonable price recovery [2][3]. - Recent monetary policies include a package of financial measures aimed at supporting service consumption, such as the establishment of service consumption and elderly re-loan tools, and the implementation of nationwide birth subsidies [2]. Group 3: Supply Optimization - Traditional industries and some emerging sectors have rapidly increased production, contributing to economic growth and employment, but issues like excessive competition and profit margin compression have raised concerns [2]. - New regulations, such as the "Regulations on Payment of Funds to Small and Medium Enterprises," aim to address low-price competition and encourage the orderly exit of outdated production capacity [2].
讨论物价别跑偏!权威专家详解“通货膨胀是货币现象”适用边界
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-07-14 09:55
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes that the current economic situation in China is characterized by insufficient demand rather than supply shortages, which is different from the historical context of inflation being viewed as a monetary phenomenon [1][2] - Experts suggest that expanding domestic demand and addressing internal competition issues are expected to facilitate economic circulation and promote a reasonable recovery in prices [1][2] Group 2 - From the perspective of expanding domestic demand, the central bank has maintained significant support through various financial policies, including the introduction of tools for service consumption and elderly care refinancing [2] - The implementation of policies aimed at optimizing supply, such as the "Regulations on Payment of Funds to Small and Medium Enterprises," is expected to address issues of low-price disorderly competition and promote the orderly exit of backward production capacity [2] - The anticipated improvement in social security levels, including healthcare and education, is expected to enhance residents' consumption capacity and willingness, contributing to economic recovery [2]