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IHG(IHG) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-23 09:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Global RevPAR grew by 0.1% in Q3, consistent with Q2 performance, driven by strong trading in EMEA-A and improvement in Greater China [4] - Year-to-date global RevPAR increased by 1.4% [21] - In the Americas, RevPAR decreased by 0.9% in Q3, with the U.S. down 1.6% due to slower trading conditions [5] - EMEA-A saw RevPAR growth of 2.8% in Q3, with year-to-date growth at 3.8% [5] - The company opened 14,500 rooms across 99 hotels globally in Q3, marking a 17% year-on-year increase [8] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Rooms revenue for business days was up 4% globally, while leisure and groups were down by 2% and 4% respectively [7] - In the Americas, gross system growth was 3.6% year-on-year, with 2,700 rooms opened in Q3 [9] - EMEA-A gross system growth was 10.4% year-on-year, with 4,200 rooms opened in Q3 [10] - Greater China gross system growth reached 12.8% year-on-year, with 7,600 rooms opened in Q3 [12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In EMEA-A, occupancy increased by 1.6 percentage points to 75.3%, while rate was up 0.6% [5] - Greater China experienced a 1.8% decline in RevPAR in Q3, but occupancy improved by 0.6 percentage points to 64.4% [6] - The Middle East saw a strong 9.5% growth in RevPAR, driven by the UAE [6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to launch a new collection brand focused on the premium segment, initially targeting the EMEA-A region [18] - The new brand aims to complement existing brands like Voco and Vignette Collection, which have seen success in conversions [19] - The company is optimistic about long-term demand drivers, with a focus on expanding its portfolio of world-class brands [17] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in returning to growth in the U.S. as economic uncertainty subsides [5] - The company remains on track to meet full-year profit and earnings expectations, with consensus for operating profits at $1.259 billion, implying a 12% growth [15] - Management highlighted strong fundamentals in the U.S. economy, including low unemployment and resilient consumer spending [31] Other Important Information - The company is 78% through its $900 million share buyback program, reducing share count by 3.9% [12] - IHG intends to change the currency of its ordinary shares traded on the London Stock Exchange from British pounds to U.S. dollars starting January 2026 [13][14] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the outlook for net system growth in 2026? - Management feels confident about the trajectory of net system growth, with consensus for 2025 at 4.5% excluding the Venetian [24] Question: What are the expectations for RevPAR in the U.S.? - Management indicated that they are comfortable with the consensus for RevPAR, which is around 1.3% for the full year [28] Question: Can you elaborate on the increase in credit card fees? - Management confirmed an increase of about $40 million in 2025, with a gradual increase over the next three years [35] Question: Why is the new brand launching in EMEA and not the U.S.? - The EMEA market has a larger proportion of independent hotels, making it a more attractive area for conversion and collection brands [39] Question: What factors are contributing to the weakness in leisure demand in the U.S.? - Management noted several factors, including lower international inbound travel and the impact of tariffs, but remains optimistic about long-term strength [45]
IHG(IHG) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-23 09:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Global RevPAR grew by 0.1% in Q3 2025, consistent with Q2 performance, driven by strong trading in EMEAA and improvement in Greater China [4][5] - Year-to-date global RevPAR increased by 1.4% [25] - In The Americas, RevPAR decreased by 0.9% in Q3, with a 1.6% decline in the U.S. due to slower trading conditions [5][6] - EMEAA saw a RevPAR increase of 2.8% in Q3, with year-to-date growth at 3.8% [7][8] - Greater China experienced a 1.8% decline in RevPAR in Q3, an improvement from previous quarters [8][9] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Rooms revenue for business days increased by 4% globally, while leisure and groups saw declines of 2% and 4% respectively [9] - System growth included 14,500 rooms opened across 99 hotels globally in Q3, marking a 17% year-on-year increase [10] - The Americas had a gross system growth of 3.6% year-on-year, with 2,700 rooms opened in Q3 [12] - EMEAA's system growth was 10.4% year-on-year, with 4,200 rooms opened in Q3 [13] - Greater China achieved a gross system growth of 12.8% year-on-year, with 7,600 rooms opened in Q3 [14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In EMEAA, RevPAR growth varied by market, with strong performance in Southern Europe and a 9.5% increase in The Middle East [8] - The U.S. market continues to face challenges with government travel down 20% compared to the previous year [6] - Demand in Greater China is supported by the growing middle class, despite a decline in RevPAR [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to launch a new collection brand targeting the upscale to upper upscale segment, initially focusing on the EMEAA region [22][23] - The strategy includes expanding the portfolio of world-class brands and enhancing the enterprise platform for owners [22][23] - The company aims to maintain strong development activity, with 2025 projected to be one of the largest years for openings and signings [21][22] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in long-term demand drivers despite current slower trading conditions in the U.S. [21][22] - The outlook for 2025 includes expectations for operating profit growth of 12% and adjusted earnings per share growth of 15% [20] - Management highlighted positive economic fundamentals in the U.S., including strong employment and consumer spending [44][45] Other Important Information - The company is 78% through its $900 million share buyback program, which has reduced the share count by 3.9% [16] - A bond issuance of $4.1 billion is outstanding with a blended borrowing cost of around 4.3% [16] - The company plans to change the currency of its ordinary shares traded on the London Stock Exchange from British pounds to U.S. dollars starting January 2026 [17][18] Q&A Session Summary Question: Net system growth outlook for 2026 - Management is comfortable with the consensus of around 4% net system growth for 2026, supported by strong signings and conversions [32][36] Question: RevPAR expectations for 2026 - Management indicated that RevPAR is expected to remain flat in Q4, with a comfortable outlook for 2026 based on economic fundamentals [39][42] Question: Credit card fees increase - Management confirmed an increase of approximately $40 million in credit card fees for 2025, with a gradual increase over the next three years [52] Question: New brand launch details - Management will provide more details on the new brand launch in the coming months, including timing and projections [79] Question: Performance of Ruby brand - The Ruby brand is performing well with five signings since opening and plans for further expansion in the U.S. [89] Question: U.S. market occupancy concerns - Management acknowledged lower occupancy in the U.S. compared to pre-COVID levels but expressed optimism for recovery driven by improved revenue management and economic fundamentals [101][106]