Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative return of over 20% within the next six months [6][17]. Core Views - The company's Q1 performance continues to face pressure, with a slight revenue increase of 1.61% year-on-year to CNY 142.56 billion, while net profit decreased by 12.03% to CNY 2.636 billion. The expectation is for gradual improvement in operations due to anticipated fiscal policy support [1][2]. - The report highlights the potential benefits for the company from major hydropower projects, as it is a leading player in the water conservancy and hydropower sector, responsible for over 80% of river planning and more than 65% of the construction of medium and large hydropower stations in China [3][1]. Financial Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, the company reported a gross margin of 10.81%, a decrease of 0.98 percentage points year-on-year. The net profit margin was 2.46%, down by 0.4 percentage points [2]. - The company signed new contracts worth CNY 299.32 billion in Q1 2025, a decrease of 9.6% year-on-year. Notably, new contracts in hydropower and wind power increased by 20.2% and 67.3% respectively, indicating strong demand in these sectors [3]. - The company's operating cash flow showed a net outflow of CNY 40.519 billion in Q1 2025, which is an increase in outflow by CNY 1.516 billion compared to the same period last year [2]. Financial Data and Valuation - The projected revenue for the company is expected to grow from CNY 609.41 billion in 2023 to CNY 738.51 billion by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 6.87% [5]. - The estimated net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to increase from CNY 12.99 billion in 2023 to CNY 15.66 billion by 2027, reflecting a growth rate of 11.76% [5]. - The company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 6.43 in 2023 to 5.34 by 2027, indicating potential undervaluation [5].

行业报告 | 行业研究周报 建筑装饰 证券研究报告 基建投资景气上行，顺周期煤化工有望贯穿全年主线 核心观点 本周 CS 建筑上涨 1.54%，沪深 300 上涨 1.67%，建筑跑输大盘 0.12%。中小 市值转型的相关标的涨幅居前，传统基建央企仍表现偏弱。传统基建层面， 25 年 1-3 月专项债密集发行，基建投资延续发力，且水泥、沥青等建材高 频数据进一步验证景气上行。顺周期方面，Q1 较多煤化工项目进入前期密 集开工阶段，随着招投标工作的深入推进，建议继续关注相关企业的订单 及业绩弹性，重点推荐硫磺回收领域拿单优势凸显的三维化学。新兴业务 板块，建议继续关注与算力、IDC 等相关的投资机会，以及部分中小市值建 筑公司的转型机遇，主题层面建议继续关注西南水电及国际工程相关品种。 多维度验证 Q1 基建景气上行，煤化工项目进入密集开工阶段 1）从投资数据来看：25 年 1-3 月狭义基建、广义基建投资同比分别+5.8%、 +11.5%，3 月单月同比分别+5.9%、+12.6%（增速环比+0.3、+2.6pct），细 分项中，传统交通运输类投资强度增长仍较为有限，而水电燃热、水利投 资保持高增长态势，1- ...